El Niño impacts in the Inkomati-Usuthu catchment

Montes, Carlo. 2023. El Niño impacts in the Inkomati-Usuthu catchment. Digital Innovation Brief August 2023. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.136848.

Near normal but increasing temperature anomalies are predicted for the Inkomati-Usuthu catchment from August 2023 to January 2024. Predicted near-normal rainfall anomalies turn negative as summer 2023/34 approaches in the catchment. A reduction in rainfall, higher than normal temperatures and evaporative demand, along with drought conditions induced by the 2023 El Niño event can be expected for the Inkomati-Usuthu catchment from January to March 2024 and likely until the next wet season.