An expost economic assessment of the intervention against highly pathogenic avian influenza in Nigeria

cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Livestock Research Instituteen_US
cg.contributor.crpAgriculture for Nutrition and Healthen_US
cg.coverage.countryNigeriaen_US
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2NGen_US
cg.coverage.regionAfricaen_US
cg.coverage.regionWestern Africaen_US
cg.creator.identifierIheanacho Okike: 0000-0001-7059-8595en_US
cg.creator.identifierBernard Bett: 0000-0001-9376-2941en_US
cg.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.13128/bae-12713en_US
cg.issn2280-6180en_US
cg.issue1en_US
cg.journalBio-based and Applied Economicsen_US
cg.reviewStatusPeer Reviewen_US
cg.subject.ilriANIMAL DISEASESen_US
cg.subject.ilriDISEASE CONTROLen_US
cg.subject.ilriEMERGING DISEASESen_US
cg.subject.ilriLIVESTOCKen_US
cg.volume3en_US
dc.contributor.authorFadiga, M.L.en_US
dc.contributor.authorOkike, Iheanachoen_US
dc.contributor.authorBett, Bernard K.en_US
dc.date.accessioned2014-06-18T05:27:04Zen_US
dc.date.available2014-06-18T05:27:04Zen_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/41596en_US
dc.titleAn expost economic assessment of the intervention against highly pathogenic avian influenza in Nigeriaen_US
dcterms.abstractThis study assesses the intervention against avian influenza in Nigeria. It applied a simple compartmental model to define endemic and burn-out scenarios for the risk of spread of HPAI in Nigeria. It followed with the derivation of low and high mortality risks associated to each scenario. The estimated risk parameters were subsequently used to stochastically simulate the trajectory of the disease, had no intervention been carried out. Overall, the intervention costs US$ 41 million, which was yearly dis- bursed in various amounts over the 2006-2010 period. The key output variables (incremental net benefit, disease cost, and benefit cost ratio) were estimated for each randomly drawn risk parameter. With a 12% annual discount rate, the results show that the intervention was economically justified under the endemic scenario with high mortality risk. On average, incremental benefit under this scenario amounted to US$ 63.7 million, incremental net benefit to US$27.2 million, and benefit cost ratio estimated to 1.75.en_US
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Accessen_US
dcterms.audienceScientistsen_US
dcterms.bibliographicCitationFadiga, M.L., Okike, I. and Bett, B. 2014. An expost economic assessment of the intervention against highly pathogenic avian influenza in Nigeria. Bio-based and Applied Economics 3(1): 45-61.en_US
dcterms.extentp. 45-61en_US
dcterms.issued2014-04-01en_US
dcterms.languageenen_US
dcterms.subjectanimal diseasesen_US
dcterms.typeJournal Articleen_US

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