An expost economic assessment of the intervention against highly pathogenic avian influenza in Nigeria

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cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Livestock Research Instituteen
cg.contributor.crpAgriculture for Nutrition and Health
cg.coverage.countryNigeria
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2NG
cg.coverage.regionAfrica
cg.coverage.regionWestern Africa
cg.creator.identifierIheanacho Okike: 0000-0001-7059-8595
cg.creator.identifierBernard Bett: 0000-0001-9376-2941
cg.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.13128/bae-12713en
cg.issn2280-6180en
cg.issue1en
cg.journalBio-based and Applied Economicsen
cg.reviewStatusPeer Reviewen
cg.subject.ilriANIMAL DISEASESen
cg.subject.ilriDISEASE CONTROLen
cg.subject.ilriEMERGING DISEASESen
cg.subject.ilriLIVESTOCKen
cg.volume3en
dc.contributor.authorFadiga, M.L.en
dc.contributor.authorOkike, Iheanachoen
dc.contributor.authorBett, Bernard K.en
dc.date.accessioned2014-06-18T05:27:04Zen
dc.date.available2014-06-18T05:27:04Zen
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/41596
dc.titleAn expost economic assessment of the intervention against highly pathogenic avian influenza in Nigeriaen
dcterms.abstractThis study assesses the intervention against avian influenza in Nigeria. It applied a simple compartmental model to define endemic and burn-out scenarios for the risk of spread of HPAI in Nigeria. It followed with the derivation of low and high mortality risks associated to each scenario. The estimated risk parameters were subsequently used to stochastically simulate the trajectory of the disease, had no intervention been carried out. Overall, the intervention costs US$ 41 million, which was yearly dis- bursed in various amounts over the 2006-2010 period. The key output variables (incremental net benefit, disease cost, and benefit cost ratio) were estimated for each randomly drawn risk parameter. With a 12% annual discount rate, the results show that the intervention was economically justified under the endemic scenario with high mortality risk. On average, incremental benefit under this scenario amounted to US$ 63.7 million, incremental net benefit to US$27.2 million, and benefit cost ratio estimated to 1.75.en
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Access
dcterms.audienceScientistsen
dcterms.bibliographicCitationFadiga, M.L., Okike, I. and Bett, B. 2014. An expost economic assessment of the intervention against highly pathogenic avian influenza in Nigeria. Bio-based and Applied Economics 3(1): 45-61.en
dcterms.extentp. 45-61en
dcterms.issued2014-04-01
dcterms.languageen
dcterms.subjectanimal diseasesen
dcterms.typeJournal Article

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Impact assessment study of the Nigeria avian influenza control and human pandemic preparedness and response project