Probability models for detecting transgenic plants

cg.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1017/s0960258508975565en
cg.issn0960-2585en
cg.issue2en
cg.journalSeed Science Researchen
cg.volume18en
dc.contributor.authorHernández-Suárez, Carlos M.en
dc.contributor.authorMontesinos-López, Osval A.en
dc.contributor.authorMcLaren, Grahamen
dc.contributor.authorCrossa, Joséen
dc.date.accessioned2024-12-19T12:56:08Zen
dc.date.available2024-12-19T12:56:08Zen
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/166336
dc.titleProbability models for detecting transgenic plantsen
dcterms.abstractWhen detecting the adventitious presence of transgenic plants (AP), it is important to use an appropriate testing method in the laboratory. Dorfman's group testing method is effective for reducing the number of laboratory analyses, but does not consider the case where AP is diluted below the sensitivity of the analyses, which causes the rate of false negatives to increase. The objective of this study is to propose binomial and negative binomial probabilistic models for determining the required sample size (n), number of pools (g), and size of the pool (k) for detecting individuals possessing AP with a probability ≥ (1 − α) (for a small α) given: (1) pool size (k); (2) estimated proportion of individuals with AP in the population (p); (3) concentration of the trait of interest (AP) in individual seeds (w); and (4) detection limit of the test (c) (AP concentration in a pool below which it cannot be detected). The proposed models consider the different rates of false positives (δ) and false negatives (λ), and the assessment of consumer and producer risks. Results have shown that when using the negative binomial, a required sample sizencan be determined that guarantees a high probability thatmindividuals orgpools containing AP will be found. The pools formed have an optimum size, such that one element with AP will be detected at a low cost. The negative binomial distribution should be used when it is known that the proportion of individuals with AP in the population isp < 0.1; thus, it is guaranteed thatmindividuals orgpools of individuals with AP will be detected with high probability.en
dcterms.available2008-06-01
dcterms.bibliographicCitationHernández-Suárez, Carlos M.; Montesinos-López, Osval A.; McLaren, Graham and Crossa, José. 2008. Probability models for detecting transgenic plants. Seed Sci. Res., Volume 18 no. 2 p. 77-89en
dcterms.extentpp. 77-89en
dcterms.issued2008-06
dcterms.languageen
dcterms.licenseCopyrighted; all rights reserved
dcterms.publisherCambridge University Pressen
dcterms.subjectcostsen
dcterms.subjectmethodologyen
dcterms.subjectmodelsen
dcterms.subjectpopulationsen
dcterms.subjectseedsen
dcterms.subjecttransgenic plantsen
dcterms.typeJournal Article

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