Towards a Replicable Innovative Tool for Adaptive Climate Monitoring and Weather Forecasting Using Traditional Indigenous and Local Indicators to Strengthen AgroWeather Resilience at Scale

cg.authorship.typesCGIAR and developing country instituteen
cg.authorship.typesCGIAR and advanced research instituteen
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Livestock Research Instituteen
cg.contributor.affiliationSNVen
cg.contributor.affiliationAssociation for Strengthening Agricultural Research in Eastern and Central Africaen
cg.contributor.affiliationCentre for Coordination of Agricultural Research and Development for Southern Africaen
cg.contributor.donorWorld Banken
cg.contributor.donorMinistry of Foreign Affairs, the Netherlandsen
cg.coverage.regionAfrica
cg.coverage.regionEastern Africa
cg.coverage.regionSub-Saharan Africa
cg.creator.identifierJoab Osumba: 0000-0002-1728-9176
cg.creator.identifierMaren Radeny: 0000-0001-6470-8372
cg.creator.identifierJohn Walker Recha: 0000-0002-1146-7197
cg.creator.identifierEnock Warinda: 0000-0003-2974-5527
cg.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.59101/frr072325en
cg.issue25en
cg.subject.impactAreaClimate adaptation and mitigation
cg.subject.impactAreaNutrition, health and food security
cg.subject.sdgSDG 1 - No povertyen
cg.subject.sdgSDG 2 - Zero hungeren
cg.subject.sdgSDG 13 - Climate actionen
cg.volume7en
dc.contributor.authorOsumba, Joaben
dc.contributor.authorRadeny, Maren A.O.en
dc.contributor.authorRecha, John W.M.en
dc.contributor.authorOroma, George W.en
dc.contributor.authorNzoka, Oscaren
dc.contributor.authorMbingo, Joyceen
dc.contributor.authorWarinda, Enocken
dc.contributor.authorMwale, Simonen
dc.date.accessioned2023-05-29T02:27:55Zen
dc.date.available2023-05-29T02:27:55Zen
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/130516
dc.titleTowards a Replicable Innovative Tool for Adaptive Climate Monitoring and Weather Forecasting Using Traditional Indigenous and Local Indicators to Strengthen AgroWeather Resilience at Scaleen
dcterms.abstractThis paper presents lessons of a replicable innovative decision support tool to systematize traditional indigenous knowledge base for local climate monitoring and weather forecasting. The methodological tool, herein called the traditional indigenous and local knowledge tool (TILKIT), was conceptualized under two training-of-trainers initiatives on Climate-Smart Agriculture (CSA) in East Africa from March 2016 to December 2021. The aim was to build local momentum for consensus-based ethnographic weather monitoring, local weather forecasting and agroweather advisory development for adoption by local stakeholders to improve agro-climatic extension service delivery. The objective was to strengthen local capacity of smallholder farmer leaders, agribusiness value chain partners, and field extension agents on the practical applications of indigenous climatology. Most of this indigenous traditional knowledge or local technical knowledge (ITK or LTK) is now getting lost due to climate change and loss of institutional memory but little effort is being made to identify and systematize the use of emerging ITK or LTK. It is against this background that these initiatives conceptualised and developed an innovative approach to bridge the gaps in order to address the challenges of salience, access, legitimacy, equity and integration of climate information to meet users’ felt needs. The study adopted a transdisciplinary, participatory learning and action research (PLAR) model to identify and confirm emerging local weather indicators and what they mean for local rainfall forecasting, and to drive self-organization processes to bring indigenous climate knowledge into practical use in each community. The tool emphasizes a consensus-based co-production of local weather forecasts and agro-weather advisories to improve climate information services and extension service delivery. Testing and validation were conducted with 1,127 participants among various communities across Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda. Results comprise identified ethnographic weather prediction indicators per locality, and their implications for local weather forecasting, which for the first time is presented in probabilistic terms in a way local communities can associate with, and which can compare and contrast empirically with conventional weather forecast language. The tool also provides actionable agro-climate/ agro-weather advisories with appropriate lead times for local response and a basis for strategic seasonal planning and operational risk management decision-making. Evidence from this work can be packaged for sensitization to influence policy reforms and decision-making at various levels among relevant stakeholders in the region.en
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Access
dcterms.audienceScientistsen
dcterms.available2023-05-28
dcterms.bibliographicCitationOsumba JJL, Radeny M, Recha JW, Oroma GW, Nzoka O, Mbingo J, Warinda E, Mwale S. 2023. Towards a Replicable Innovative Tool for Adaptive Climate Monitoring and Weather Forecasting Using Traditional Indigenous and Local Indicators to Strengthen Agro-Weather Resilience at Scale. FARA Research Report Vol 7(25):296-320. https://doi.org/10.59101/frr072325en
dcterms.extent296-320en
dcterms.isPartOfFARA Research Reporten
dcterms.issued2023
dcterms.languageen
dcterms.licenseOther
dcterms.publisherForum for Agricultural Research in Africaen
dcterms.subjectrainfeden
dcterms.subjectclimate risken
dcterms.typeReport

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