Unraveling the Climate-Macro Conundrum: The Macroeconomic Impact of Climate Change in Eastern Africa

cg.authorship.typesCGIAR multi-centreen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationAddis Ababa Universityen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Livestock Research Instituteen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationAccelerating Impacts of CGIAR Climate Research for Africaen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Center for Agricultural Research in the Dry Areasen_US
cg.contributor.donorWorld Banken_US
cg.coverage.countryEthiopiaen_US
cg.coverage.countryKenyaen_US
cg.coverage.countryRwandaen_US
cg.coverage.countryTanzaniaen_US
cg.coverage.countryUgandaen_US
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2ETen_US
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2KEen_US
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2RWen_US
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2TZen_US
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2UGen_US
cg.coverage.regionAfricaen_US
cg.coverage.regionEastern Africaen_US
cg.coverage.regionSub-Saharan Africaen_US
cg.creator.identifierAlemayehu Geda: 0000-0001-5298-9066en_US
cg.creator.identifierAddis Yimer: 0000-0002-9494-2386en_US
cg.creator.identifierTeferi Demissie: 0000-0002-0228-1972en_US
cg.creator.identifierMaren Radeny: 0000-0001-6470-8372en_US
cg.creator.identifierAbonesh Tesfaye: 0000-0003-4768-4131en_US
cg.creator.identifierDawit Solomon: 0000-0002-6839-6801en_US
dc.contributor.authorGeda, Alemayehuen_US
dc.contributor.authorYimer, Addisen_US
dc.contributor.authorDemissie, Teferi Dejeneen_US
dc.contributor.authorRadeny, Maren A.O.en_US
dc.contributor.authorKassie, Girmaen_US
dc.contributor.authorTesfaye, Aboneshen_US
dc.contributor.authorBelay, Berhanuen_US
dc.contributor.authorSolomon, Dawiten_US
dc.date.accessioned2023-12-20T15:38:58Zen_US
dc.date.available2023-12-20T15:38:58Zen_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/135660en_US
dc.titleUnraveling the Climate-Macro Conundrum: The Macroeconomic Impact of Climate Change in Eastern Africaen_US
dcterms.abstractThis study has empirically examined the macroeconomic impact of climate change in the East African region by focusing on Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, Tanzania, and Uganda. It dealt with this effect comprehensively by focusing on economic growth, agricultural output, exports, and food security (using food supply and inflation). This is done using a suite of theoretical models from macroeconomic and macro-econometric literature. The analysis confirms that the effects of climate change in the region are real and present a macroeconomic danger to the economies of the five countries in the region. Specifically, the study found that climate change negatively affects the region's economic growth (total output), agriculture output, exports, food production and supply, and inflation dynamics. The study found several empirically specific effects of climate change. It, for instance, found climate change to reduce the annual GDP of the region by an average of about 7% (which varies from 2.5 in Tanzania to 15 in Ethiopia) by 2050, compared to a no-climate change scenario. The latter is found to have implications for food security in the region. The findings call for authorities in these economies to develop climate change coping and adaptation strategies not only for their own sake but also as part of their macroeconomic policy.en_US
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Accessen_US
dcterms.audienceAcademicsen_US
dcterms.audienceCGIARen_US
dcterms.audienceDevelopment Practitionersen_US
dcterms.audienceDonorsen_US
dcterms.audienceNGOsen_US
dcterms.audiencePolicy Makersen_US
dcterms.audienceScientistsen_US
dcterms.bibliographicCitationGeda A, Yimer A, Demissie T, Tesfaye A, Radeny M, Kassie G, Belay B, Solomon D. 2023. Unraveling the Climate-Macro Conundrum: The Macroeconomic Impact of Climate Change in Eastern Africa. AICCRA Working Paper no. 13. Accelerating Impacts of CGIAR Climate Research in Africa (AICCRA).en_US
dcterms.issued2023-08en_US
dcterms.languageenen_US
dcterms.licenseCC-BY-NC-4.0en_US
dcterms.publisherAccelerating Impacts of CGIAR Climate Research for Africaen_US
dcterms.typeReporten_US

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