Intensifying rice production to reduce imports and land conversion in Africa

cg.authorship.typesCGIAR multi-centreen
cg.authorship.typesCGIAR and developing country instituteen
cg.authorship.typesCGIAR and advanced research instituteen
cg.contributor.affiliationHuazhong Agricultural Universityen
cg.contributor.affiliationAfrica Rice Centeren
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Rice Research Instituteen
cg.contributor.affiliationAgrosystems Researchen
cg.contributor.affiliationWageningen University & Researchen
cg.contributor.affiliationSwedish University of Agricultural Sciencesen
cg.contributor.affiliationUniversity of Nebraskaen
cg.contributor.donorBill & Melinda Gates Foundationen
cg.contributor.donorNational Key Research and Development Program, Chinaen
cg.contributor.donorChina Association for Science and Technologyen
cg.contributor.donorFundamental Research Funds for the Central Universitiesen
cg.contributor.donorNatural Science Foundation of Hubei Province of Chinaen
cg.contributor.donorProgram of Introducing Talents of Discipline to Universities in Chinaen
cg.contributor.donorBelt and Road Center for Sustainable Rice Productionen
cg.contributor.donorCGIAR Trust Funden
cg.contributor.initiativeExcellence in Agronomy
cg.coverage.regionAfrica
cg.creator.identifierKazuki Saito: 0000-0002-8609-2713en
cg.creator.identifierPepijn A.J.: 0000-0001-7617-5382en
cg.creator.identifierMartin van Ittersum: 0000-0001-8611-6781en
cg.howPublishedFormally Publisheden
cg.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-44950-8en
cg.isijournalISI Journalen
cg.issn2041-1723en
cg.issue1en
cg.journalNature Communicationsen
cg.reviewStatusPeer Reviewen
cg.subject.actionAreaResilient Agrifood Systems
cg.subject.impactAreaPoverty reduction, livelihoods and jobs
cg.volume15en
dc.contributor.authorYuan, Shenen
dc.contributor.authorSaito, Kazukien
dc.contributor.authorvan Oort, Pepijn A. J.en
dc.contributor.authorIttersum, Martin K. vanen
dc.contributor.authorPeng, Shaobingen
dc.contributor.authorGrassini, Patricioen
dc.date.accessioned2024-02-07T14:18:45Zen
dc.date.available2024-02-07T14:18:45Zen
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/139044
dc.titleIntensifying rice production to reduce imports and land conversion in Africaen
dcterms.abstractAfrica produces around 60% of the rice the continent consumes, relying heavily on rice imports to fulfill the rest of the domestic demand. Over the past 10 years, the rice-agricultural area increased nearly 40%, while average yield remained stagnant. Here we used a process-based crop simulation modelling approach combined with local weather, soil, and management datasets to evaluate the potential to increase rice production on existing cropland area in Africa and assess cropland expansion and rice imports by year 2050 for different scenarios of yield intensification. We find that Africa can avoid further increases in rice imports, and even reduce them, through a combination of cropland expansion following the historical trend together with closure of the current exploitable yield gap by half or more. Without substantial increase in rice yields, meeting future rice demand will require larger rice imports and/or land conversion than now.en
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Access
dcterms.audienceCGIARen
dcterms.audienceFarmersen
dcterms.audienceDevelopment Practitionersen
dcterms.audiencePolicy Makersen
dcterms.audienceScientistsen
dcterms.available2024-01-27en
dcterms.bibliographicCitationYuan, Shen, Kazuki Saito, Pepijn A. J. van Oort, Martin K. van Ittersum, Shaobing Peng, and Patricio Grassini. 2023. Intensifying rice production to reduce imports and land conversion in Africa. Nature Communications 15(1): 835.en
dcterms.issued2024-01-27en
dcterms.languageen
dcterms.licenseCC-BY-4.0
dcterms.publisherSpringer Natureen
dcterms.subjectcrop productionen
dcterms.subjectagricultural land managementen
dcterms.subjectfarmlanden
dcterms.subjectriceen
dcterms.subjectcultivationen
dcterms.subjectyieldsen
dcterms.typeJournal Article

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