Intensifying rice production to reduce imports and land conversion in Africa

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cg.authorship.typesCGIAR multi-centreen_US
cg.authorship.typesCGIAR and developing country instituteen_US
cg.authorship.typesCGIAR and advanced research instituteen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationHuazhong Agricultural Universityen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationAfrica Rice Centeren_US
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Rice Research Instituteen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationAgrosystems Researchen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationWageningen University & Researchen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationSwedish University of Agricultural Sciencesen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationUniversity of Nebraskaen_US
cg.contributor.donorBill & Melinda Gates Foundationen_US
cg.contributor.donorNational Key Research and Development Program, Chinaen_US
cg.contributor.donorChina Association for Science and Technologyen_US
cg.contributor.donorFundamental Research Funds for the Central Universitiesen_US
cg.contributor.donorNatural Science Foundation of Hubei Province of Chinaen_US
cg.contributor.donorProgram of Introducing Talents of Discipline to Universities in Chinaen_US
cg.contributor.donorBelt and Road Center for Sustainable Rice Productionen_US
cg.contributor.donorCGIAR Trust Funden_US
cg.contributor.initiativeExcellence in Agronomyen_US
cg.coverage.regionAfricaen_US
cg.creator.identifierKazuki Saito: 0000-0002-8609-2713en_US
cg.creator.identifierPepijn A.J.: 0000-0001-7617-5382en_US
cg.creator.identifierMartin van Ittersum: 0000-0001-8611-6781en_US
cg.howPublishedFormally Publisheden_US
cg.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-44950-8en_US
cg.isijournalISI Journalen_US
cg.issn2041-1723en_US
cg.issue1en_US
cg.journalNature Communicationsen_US
cg.reviewStatusPeer Reviewen_US
cg.subject.actionAreaResilient Agrifood Systemsen_US
cg.subject.impactAreaPoverty reduction, livelihoods and jobsen_US
cg.volume15en_US
dc.contributor.authorYuan, Shenen_US
dc.contributor.authorSaito, Kazukien_US
dc.contributor.authorvan Oort, Pepijn A. J.en_US
dc.contributor.authorIttersum, Martin K. vanen_US
dc.contributor.authorPeng, Shaobingen_US
dc.contributor.authorGrassini, Patricioen_US
dc.date.accessioned2024-02-07T14:18:45Zen_US
dc.date.available2024-02-07T14:18:45Zen_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/139044en_US
dc.titleIntensifying rice production to reduce imports and land conversion in Africaen_US
dcterms.abstractAfrica produces around 60% of the rice the continent consumes, relying heavily on rice imports to fulfill the rest of the domestic demand. Over the past 10 years, the rice-agricultural area increased nearly 40%, while average yield remained stagnant. Here we used a process-based crop simulation modelling approach combined with local weather, soil, and management datasets to evaluate the potential to increase rice production on existing cropland area in Africa and assess cropland expansion and rice imports by year 2050 for different scenarios of yield intensification. We find that Africa can avoid further increases in rice imports, and even reduce them, through a combination of cropland expansion following the historical trend together with closure of the current exploitable yield gap by half or more. Without substantial increase in rice yields, meeting future rice demand will require larger rice imports and/or land conversion than now.en_US
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Accessen_US
dcterms.audienceCGIARen_US
dcterms.audienceFarmersen_US
dcterms.audienceDevelopment Practitionersen_US
dcterms.audiencePolicy Makersen_US
dcterms.audienceScientistsen_US
dcterms.available2024-01-27en_US
dcterms.bibliographicCitationYuan, Shen, Kazuki Saito, Pepijn A. J. van Oort, Martin K. van Ittersum, Shaobing Peng, and Patricio Grassini. 2023. Intensifying rice production to reduce imports and land conversion in Africa. Nature Communications 15(1): 835.en_US
dcterms.issued2024-01-27en_US
dcterms.languageenen_US
dcterms.licenseCC-BY-4.0en_US
dcterms.publisherSpringer Natureen_US
dcterms.subjectcrop productionen_US
dcterms.subjectagricultural land managementen_US
dcterms.subjectfarmlanden_US
dcterms.subjectriceen_US
dcterms.subjectcultivationen_US
dcterms.subjectyieldsen_US
dcterms.typeJournal Articleen_US

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