The Ocean System Pathways (OSPs): a new scenario and simulation framework to investigate the future of the world fisheries

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cg.contributor.affiliationFood and Agriculture Organization of the United Nationsen
cg.contributor.affiliationWorldFishen
cg.contributor.affiliationInstitut de Recherche pour le Developpementen
cg.contributor.affiliationQueen Mary University of Londonen
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysisen
cg.contributor.affiliationThe University of British Columbiaen
cg.contributor.affiliationUniversity of Tasmaniaen
cg.contributor.affiliationUniversity of Kielen
cg.contributor.affiliationUniversity of California-San Diegoen
cg.contributor.affiliationUniversity of British Columbia, Institute for the Oceans and Fisheriesen
cg.contributor.affiliationUniversity of Cape Townen
cg.contributor.affiliationDepartment of Biology, Dalhousie Universityen
cg.contributor.affiliationMemorial Universityen
cg.contributor.affiliationMARBEC, Univ. Montpellier, CNRS, Ifremer, IRDen
cg.contributor.affiliationPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Researchen
cg.contributor.affiliationCommonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organizationen
cg.contributor.affiliationSchool of Science and Environment, Griffith Universityen
cg.contributor.affiliationEcosystem Services Management, International Institute of Applied System Analysisen
cg.contributor.donorCGIAR Trust Funden
cg.contributor.initiativeAquatic Foods
cg.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.171587166.60970779/v1en
cg.journalThe Earth And Space Open Archiveen
cg.subject.actionAreaResilient Agrifood Systems
cg.subject.impactAreaClimate adaptation and mitigation
cg.subject.impactAreaEnvironmental health and biodiversity
cg.subject.sdgSDG 13 - Climate actionen
cg.subject.sdgSDG 14 - Life below wateren
dc.contributor.authorMaury, Olivieren
dc.contributor.authorTittensor, Dereken
dc.contributor.authorEddy, Tyleren
dc.contributor.authorAllison, Edward (Eddie)en
dc.contributor.authorBari, Taruben
dc.contributor.authorBarrier, Nicolasen
dc.contributor.authorCampling, Liamen
dc.contributor.authorCheung, Williamen
dc.contributor.authorFrieler, Katjaen
dc.contributor.authorFulton, Bethen
dc.contributor.authorGuillotreau, Patriceen
dc.contributor.authorHeneghan, Ryanen
dc.contributor.authorLam, Vickyen
dc.contributor.authorLeclere, Daviden
dc.contributor.authorLengaigne, Matthieuen
dc.contributor.authorLotze-Campen, Hermannen
dc.contributor.authorNovaglio, Camillaen
dc.contributor.authorOrtega-Cisneros, Kellyen
dc.contributor.authorSchewe, Jacoben
dc.contributor.authorShin, Yunne-Jaien
dc.contributor.authorSloterdijk, Hansen
dc.contributor.authorSquires, Daleen
dc.contributor.authorSumaila, Ussif Rashiden
dc.contributor.authorTidd, Alexanderen
dc.contributor.authorRuijven, Basen
dc.contributor.authorBlanchard, Julia L.en
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-28T14:12:19Zen
dc.date.available2025-01-28T14:12:19Zen
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/170221
dc.titleThe Ocean System Pathways (OSPs): a new scenario and simulation framework to investigate the future of the world fisheriesen
dcterms.abstractThe Fisheries and Marine Ecosystems Model Intercomparison Project (FishMIP) has dedicated a decade to unravelling the future impacts of climate change on marine animal biomass. FishMIP is now preparing a new simulation protocol to assess the combined effects of both climate and socio-economic changes on marine fisheries and ecosystems. This protocol will be based on the Ocean System Pathways (OSPs), a new set of socio-economic scenarios derived from the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) widely used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The OSPs extend the SSPs to the economic, governance, management and socio-cultural contexts of large pelagic, small pelagic, benthic-demersal and emerging fisheries, as well as mariculture. Comprising qualitative storylines, quantitative model driver pathways and a plug-in-model framework, the OSPs will enable a heterogeneous suite of ecosystem models to simulate fisheries dynamics in a standardized way. This paper introduces this OSP framework and the simulation protocol that FishMIP will implement to explore future ocean social-ecological systems holistically, with a focus on critical issues such as climate justice, global food security, equitable fisheries, aquaculture development, fisheries management, and biodiversity conservation. Ultimately, the OSP framework is tailored to contribute to the synthesis work of the IPCC. It also aims to inform ongoing policy processes within the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO). Finally, it seeks to support the synthesis work of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES), with a particular focus on studying pathways relevant for the United Nations Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD).en
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Access
dcterms.available2024-05-16en
dcterms.bibliographicCitationOlivier Maury, Derek Tittensor, Tyler Eddy, Edward (Eddie) Allison, Tarub Bari, Nicolas Barrier, Liam Campling, William Cheung, Katja Frieler, Beth Fulton, Patrice Guillotreau, Ryan Heneghan, Vicky Lam, David Leclere, Matthieu Lengaigne, Hermann Lotze-Campen, Camilla Novaglio, Kelly Ortega-Cisneros, Jacob Schewe, Yunne-Jai Shin, Hans Sloterdijk, Dale Squires, Ussif Rashid Sumaila, Alexander Tidd, Bas Ruijven, Julia L. Blanchard. (16/5/2024). The Ocean System Pathways (OSPs): a new scenario and simulation framework to investigate the future of the world fisheries. The Earth And Space Open Archive.en
dcterms.languageen
dcterms.licenseCopyrighted; all rights reserved
dcterms.publisherAuthoreaen
dcterms.subjectclimate changeen
dcterms.subjectbiodiversity conservationen
dcterms.subjectfishen
dcterms.subjectocean system pathwaysen
dcterms.typeJournal Article

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