The Ocean System Pathways (OSPs): a new scenario and simulation framework to investigate the future of the world fisheries

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cg.contributor.affiliationFood and Agriculture Organization of the United Nationsen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationWorldFishen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationInstitut de Recherche pour le Developpementen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationQueen Mary University of Londonen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysisen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationThe University of British Columbiaen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationUniversity of Tasmaniaen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationUniversity of Kielen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationUniversity of California-San Diegoen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationUniversity of British Columbia, Institute for the Oceans and Fisheriesen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationUniversity of Cape Townen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationDepartment of Biology, Dalhousie Universityen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationMemorial Universityen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationMARBEC, Univ. Montpellier, CNRS, Ifremer, IRDen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Researchen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationCommonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organizationen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationSchool of Science and Environment, Griffith Universityen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationEcosystem Services Management, International Institute of Applied System Analysisen_US
cg.contributor.donorCGIAR Trust Funden_US
cg.contributor.initiativeAquatic Foodsen_US
cg.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.171587166.60970779/v1en_US
cg.journalThe Earth And Space Open Archiveen_US
cg.subject.actionAreaResilient Agrifood Systemsen_US
cg.subject.impactAreaClimate adaptation and mitigationen_US
cg.subject.impactAreaEnvironmental health and biodiversityen_US
cg.subject.sdgSDG 13 - Climate actionen_US
cg.subject.sdgSDG 14 - Life below wateren_US
dc.contributor.authorMaury, Olivieren_US
dc.contributor.authorTittensor, Dereken_US
dc.contributor.authorEddy, Tyleren_US
dc.contributor.authorAllison, Edward (Eddie)en_US
dc.contributor.authorBari, Taruben_US
dc.contributor.authorBarrier, Nicolasen_US
dc.contributor.authorCampling, Liamen_US
dc.contributor.authorCheung, Williamen_US
dc.contributor.authorFrieler, Katjaen_US
dc.contributor.authorFulton, Bethen_US
dc.contributor.authorGuillotreau, Patriceen_US
dc.contributor.authorHeneghan, Ryanen_US
dc.contributor.authorLam, Vickyen_US
dc.contributor.authorLeclere, Daviden_US
dc.contributor.authorLengaigne, Matthieuen_US
dc.contributor.authorLotze-Campen, Hermannen_US
dc.contributor.authorNovaglio, Camillaen_US
dc.contributor.authorOrtega-Cisneros, Kellyen_US
dc.contributor.authorSchewe, Jacoben_US
dc.contributor.authorShin, Yunne-Jaien_US
dc.contributor.authorSloterdijk, Hansen_US
dc.contributor.authorSquires, Daleen_US
dc.contributor.authorSumaila, Ussif Rashiden_US
dc.contributor.authorTidd, Alexanderen_US
dc.contributor.authorRuijven, Basen_US
dc.contributor.authorBlanchard, Julia L.en_US
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-28T14:12:19Zen_US
dc.date.available2025-01-28T14:12:19Zen_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/170221en_US
dc.titleThe Ocean System Pathways (OSPs): a new scenario and simulation framework to investigate the future of the world fisheriesen_US
dcterms.abstractThe Fisheries and Marine Ecosystems Model Intercomparison Project (FishMIP) has dedicated a decade to unravelling the future impacts of climate change on marine animal biomass. FishMIP is now preparing a new simulation protocol to assess the combined effects of both climate and socio-economic changes on marine fisheries and ecosystems. This protocol will be based on the Ocean System Pathways (OSPs), a new set of socio-economic scenarios derived from the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) widely used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The OSPs extend the SSPs to the economic, governance, management and socio-cultural contexts of large pelagic, small pelagic, benthic-demersal and emerging fisheries, as well as mariculture. Comprising qualitative storylines, quantitative model driver pathways and a plug-in-model framework, the OSPs will enable a heterogeneous suite of ecosystem models to simulate fisheries dynamics in a standardized way. This paper introduces this OSP framework and the simulation protocol that FishMIP will implement to explore future ocean social-ecological systems holistically, with a focus on critical issues such as climate justice, global food security, equitable fisheries, aquaculture development, fisheries management, and biodiversity conservation. Ultimately, the OSP framework is tailored to contribute to the synthesis work of the IPCC. It also aims to inform ongoing policy processes within the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO). Finally, it seeks to support the synthesis work of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES), with a particular focus on studying pathways relevant for the United Nations Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD).en_US
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Accessen_US
dcterms.available2024-05-16en_US
dcterms.bibliographicCitationOlivier Maury, Derek Tittensor, Tyler Eddy, Edward (Eddie) Allison, Tarub Bari, Nicolas Barrier, Liam Campling, William Cheung, Katja Frieler, Beth Fulton, Patrice Guillotreau, Ryan Heneghan, Vicky Lam, David Leclere, Matthieu Lengaigne, Hermann Lotze-Campen, Camilla Novaglio, Kelly Ortega-Cisneros, Jacob Schewe, Yunne-Jai Shin, Hans Sloterdijk, Dale Squires, Ussif Rashid Sumaila, Alexander Tidd, Bas Ruijven, Julia L. Blanchard. (16/5/2024). The Ocean System Pathways (OSPs): a new scenario and simulation framework to investigate the future of the world fisheries. The Earth And Space Open Archive.en_US
dcterms.languageenen_US
dcterms.licenseCopyrighted; all rights reserveden_US
dcterms.publisherAuthoreaen_US
dcterms.subjectclimate changeen_US
dcterms.subjectbiodiversity conservationen_US
dcterms.subjectfishen_US
dcterms.subjectocean system pathwaysen_US
dcterms.typeJournal Articleen_US

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