Can machine-learning models predict gendered labor statistics using mobile phone and geospatial data?

cg.authorship.typesCGIAR and advanced research instituteen
cg.contributor.affiliationCensus Bureau, USAen
cg.contributor.affiliationDrake Universityen
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Food Policy Research Instituteen
cg.contributor.donorCGIAR Trust Funden
cg.contributor.initiativeDigital Innovation
cg.coverage.countryGhana
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2GH
cg.coverage.regionAfrica
cg.coverage.regionWestern Africa
cg.howPublishedFormally Publisheden
cg.identifier.projectIFPRI - Natural Resources and Resilience Unit
cg.identifier.publicationRankNot ranked
cg.isbn92-9146-838-2en
cg.number023en
cg.placeNairobi, Kenyaen
cg.reviewStatusInternal Reviewen
cg.subject.actionAreaSystems Transformation
cg.subject.impactAreaPoverty reduction, livelihoods and jobs
cg.subject.impactPlatformGender
cg.subject.sdgSDG 5 - Gender equalityen
cg.subject.sdgSDG 10 - Reduced inequalitiesen
dc.contributor.authorSeymour, Gregen
dc.contributor.authorFollett, Lendieen
dc.contributor.authorHenderson, Heathen
dc.contributor.authorFerguson, Nathanielen
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-20T05:35:34Zen
dc.date.available2025-01-20T05:35:34Zen
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/169433
dc.titleCan machine-learning models predict gendered labor statistics using mobile phone and geospatial data?en
dcterms.abstractHigh-quality data on rural women’s and men’s labor is imperative for tracking progress on gender equality and women’s empowerment, and for evaluating development interventions aimed at these outcomes. Yet, there remains a general lack of sex-disaggregated data on unpaid care and domestic work, earnings, employment and entrepreneurship. Researchers are increasingly looking to digital technologies, such as mobile phones, as an emerging data source with significant potential for closing gender data gaps. In this paper, we attempt to use mobile phone data and machine-learning models to predict gendered labor-market indicators for a large sample of mobile phone users in Ghana. Although our models predict mobile phone subscribers’ sex with reasonable accuracy, they predict women’s and men’s labor-market outcomes only slightly better than random guessing. The models’ mixed results may be partly attributed to noisiness in the data due to disruptions in mobile phone and employment-related behaviors caused by COVID-19. Our results also point to potential methodological limitations in using machine-learning methods and mobile phone data to estimate gendered labor-market indicators, and more generally suggest that we should proceed cautiously when thinking about leveraging digital technologies and machine learning to close data gaps. We conclude the paper with several recommendations for how the methodology might be refined in future work.en
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Access
dcterms.audienceCGIARen
dcterms.audienceDonorsen
dcterms.audienceScientistsen
dcterms.bibliographicCitationSeymour, G., Follett, L., Henderson, H., and Ferguson, N. 2024. Can machine-learning models predict gendered labor statistics using mobile phone and geospatial data? CGIAR GENDER Impact Platform Working Paper 023. Nairobi, Kenya: CGIAR GENDER Impact Platform.en
dcterms.isPartOfCGIAR GENDER Impact Platform Working Paperen
dcterms.issued2024-12-30
dcterms.languageen
dcterms.licenseCC-BY-4.0
dcterms.publisherCGIAR GENDER Impact Platformen
dcterms.subjectgenderen
dcterms.subjectlabouren
dcterms.subjectspatial dataen
dcterms.subjectmachine learningen
dcterms.typeWorking Paper

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