Can machine-learning models predict gendered labor statistics using mobile phone and geospatial data?

cg.authorship.typesCGIAR and advanced research instituteen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationCensus Bureau, USAen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationDrake Universityen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Food Policy Research Instituteen_US
cg.contributor.donorCGIAR Trust Funden_US
cg.contributor.initiativeDigital Innovationen_US
cg.coverage.countryGhanaen_US
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2GHen_US
cg.coverage.regionAfricaen_US
cg.coverage.regionWestern Africaen_US
cg.howPublishedFormally Publisheden_US
cg.identifier.projectIFPRI - Natural Resources and Resilience Uniten_US
cg.identifier.publicationRankNot rankeden_US
cg.isbn92-9146-838-2en_US
cg.number023en_US
cg.placeNairobi, Kenyaen_US
cg.reviewStatusInternal Reviewen_US
cg.subject.actionAreaSystems Transformationen_US
cg.subject.impactAreaPoverty reduction, livelihoods and jobsen_US
cg.subject.impactPlatformGenderen_US
cg.subject.sdgSDG 5 - Gender equalityen_US
cg.subject.sdgSDG 10 - Reduced inequalitiesen_US
dc.contributor.authorSeymour, Gregen_US
dc.contributor.authorFollett, Lendieen_US
dc.contributor.authorHenderson, Heathen_US
dc.contributor.authorFerguson, Nathanielen_US
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-20T05:35:34Zen_US
dc.date.available2025-01-20T05:35:34Zen_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/169433en_US
dc.titleCan machine-learning models predict gendered labor statistics using mobile phone and geospatial data?en_US
dcterms.abstractHigh-quality data on rural women’s and men’s labor is imperative for tracking progress on gender equality and women’s empowerment, and for evaluating development interventions aimed at these outcomes. Yet, there remains a general lack of sex-disaggregated data on unpaid care and domestic work, earnings, employment and entrepreneurship. Researchers are increasingly looking to digital technologies, such as mobile phones, as an emerging data source with significant potential for closing gender data gaps. In this paper, we attempt to use mobile phone data and machine-learning models to predict gendered labor-market indicators for a large sample of mobile phone users in Ghana. Although our models predict mobile phone subscribers’ sex with reasonable accuracy, they predict women’s and men’s labor-market outcomes only slightly better than random guessing. The models’ mixed results may be partly attributed to noisiness in the data due to disruptions in mobile phone and employment-related behaviors caused by COVID-19. Our results also point to potential methodological limitations in using machine-learning methods and mobile phone data to estimate gendered labor-market indicators, and more generally suggest that we should proceed cautiously when thinking about leveraging digital technologies and machine learning to close data gaps. We conclude the paper with several recommendations for how the methodology might be refined in future work.en_US
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Accessen_US
dcterms.audienceCGIARen_US
dcterms.audienceDonorsen_US
dcterms.audienceScientistsen_US
dcterms.bibliographicCitationSeymour, G., Follett, L., Henderson, H., and Ferguson, N. 2024. Can machine-learning models predict gendered labor statistics using mobile phone and geospatial data? CGIAR GENDER Impact Platform Working Paper 023. Nairobi, Kenya: CGIAR GENDER Impact Platform.en_US
dcterms.isPartOfCGIAR GENDER Impact Platform Working Paperen_US
dcterms.issued2024-12-30en_US
dcterms.languageenen_US
dcterms.licenseCC-BY-4.0en_US
dcterms.publisherCGIAR GENDER Impact Platformen_US
dcterms.subjectgenderen_US
dcterms.subjectlabouren_US
dcterms.subjectspatial dataen_US
dcterms.subjectmachine learningen_US
dcterms.typeWorking Paperen_US

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