Predicting technology adoption to improve research priority-setting

cg.contributor.affiliationDeutsche Gesellschaft für Technische Zusammenarbeiten_US
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Service for National Agricultural Researchen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationHumboldt Universitat zu Berlinen_US
cg.howPublishedFormally Publisheden_US
cg.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1111/j.1574-0862.2003.tb00248.xen_US
cg.issn0169-5150en_US
cg.issn1574-0862en_US
cg.issue2en_US
cg.journalAgricultural Economicsen_US
cg.reviewStatusPeer Reviewen_US
cg.volume28en_US
dc.contributor.authorBatz, Franz-Jozefen_US
dc.contributor.authorJanssen, Willem G.en_US
dc.contributor.authorPeters, Kurt J.en_US
dc.date.accessioned2024-02-09T19:24:23Zen_US
dc.date.available2024-02-09T19:24:23Zen_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/139193en_US
dc.titlePredicting technology adoption to improve research priority-settingen_US
dcterms.abstractThis paper presents an improved approach for predicting the speed and ceiling of technology adoption, which is a crucial information for research priority setting. In the models it is assumed that both the speed and ceiling of adoption depend on the perceived characteristics of technologies. Knowing the characteristics that have determined adoption in the past provides relevant information about the characteristics which will enable new technologies to be quickly and widely adopted in the future. Using a case study from Meru District in Kenya, it is shown that relative investment, relative risk and relative complexity significantly influenced the speed and ceiling of adoption of dairy technologies in the past. These empirical results are used to predict the speed and ceiling of adoption of potential new dairy technologies to be developed by the Dairy Cattle Research Programme (DCRP) of the Kenya Agricultural Research Institute (KARI). The approach is theoretically sound and based on empirical evidence. It clearly distinguishes promising technologies from less promising technologies and is transparent to participants in priority setting exercises. Allowing for the participation of all interest groups within the research system, the approach improves the quality of the assessment and hence the credibility of results.en_US
dcterms.accessRightsLimited Accessen_US
dcterms.bibliographicCitationBatz, Franz-Jozef; Janssen, Willem G.; Peters, Kurt J. 2003. Predicting technology adoption to improve research priority-setting. Agricultural Economics 28(2): 151-164en_US
dcterms.extentp. 151-164en_US
dcterms.issued2003en_US
dcterms.languageenen_US
dcterms.licenseCopyrighted; all rights reserveden_US
dcterms.publisherElsevieren_US
dcterms.subjectprioritizationen_US
dcterms.subjectagricultural researchen_US
dcterms.subjectplanningen_US
dcterms.subjectmanagementen_US
dcterms.subjectinnovation adoptionen_US
dcterms.typeJournal Articleen_US

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