Issues and strategies in ex-post evaluation of intervention against animal disease outbreaks and spread
cg.contributor.affiliation | International Livestock Research Institute | en_US |
cg.contributor.crp | Policies, Institutions, and Markets | en_US |
cg.contributor.crp | Agriculture for Nutrition and Health | en_US |
cg.identifier.doi | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2014.10.007 | en_US |
cg.isijournal | ISI Journal | en_US |
cg.issn | 0306-9192 | en_US |
cg.issue | 2 | en_US |
cg.journal | Food Policy | en_US |
cg.reviewStatus | Peer Review | en_US |
cg.subject.ilri | ANIMAL DISEASES | en_US |
cg.subject.ilri | BIRD FLU | en_US |
cg.subject.ilri | DISEASE CONTROL | en_US |
cg.subject.ilri | IMPACT ASSESSMENT | en_US |
cg.subject.ilri | ZOONOTIC DISEASES | en_US |
cg.volume | 49 | en_US |
dc.contributor.author | Fadiga, M.L. | en_US |
dc.contributor.author | Katjiuongua, Hikuepi B. | en_US |
dc.date.accessioned | 2014-12-17T07:04:51Z | en_US |
dc.date.available | 2014-12-17T07:04:51Z | en_US |
dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/10568/52229 | en_US |
dc.title | Issues and strategies in ex-post evaluation of intervention against animal disease outbreaks and spread | en_US |
dcterms.abstract | Animal disease outbreaks pose a significant threat in terms of potential economic losses, reduced productivity, and negative impacts on public health, food security and nutrition. This paper considers four issues in ex-post evaluation of animal disease interventions: firstly, a counterfactual involves simulating disease trajectories without the intervention. But some diseases can become endemic or become dormant after an outbreak, making it a challenge to know the true trajectory without the intervention. Secondly, without adequate design of controls and treatments, how can the estimated impacts be attributed to a given intervention? Thirdly, how do we assess costs saved by the intervention? Fourthly, given data uncertainty, would a stochastic simulation give better estimates than a deterministic one in solving for key variables? This paper addresses these issues and proposes solutions that bridge the gap between household level analysis and macro-level simulations in modelling the impact of animal diseases outbreaks. | en_US |
dcterms.accessRights | Limited Access | en_US |
dcterms.audience | Scientists | en_US |
dcterms.bibliographicCitation | Fadiga, M.L. and Katjiuongua, H.B. 2014. Issues and strategies in ex-post evaluation of intervention against animal disease outbreaks and spread. Food Policy 49(2): 418-424. | en_US |
dcterms.extent | p. 418-424 | en_US |
dcterms.issued | 2014-12 | en_US |
dcterms.language | en | en_US |
dcterms.license | Copyrighted; all rights reserved | en_US |
dcterms.publisher | Elsevier | en_US |
dcterms.subject | animal diseases | en_US |
dcterms.subject | disease control | en_US |
dcterms.subject | zoonoses | en_US |
dcterms.subject | development | en_US |
dcterms.subject | food science | en_US |
dcterms.type | Journal Article | en_US |
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