Issues and strategies in ex-post evaluation of intervention against animal disease outbreaks and spread

cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Livestock Research Instituteen_US
cg.contributor.crpPolicies, Institutions, and Marketsen_US
cg.contributor.crpAgriculture for Nutrition and Healthen_US
cg.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2014.10.007en_US
cg.isijournalISI Journalen_US
cg.issn0306-9192en_US
cg.issue2en_US
cg.journalFood Policyen_US
cg.reviewStatusPeer Reviewen_US
cg.subject.ilriANIMAL DISEASESen_US
cg.subject.ilriBIRD FLUen_US
cg.subject.ilriDISEASE CONTROLen_US
cg.subject.ilriIMPACT ASSESSMENTen_US
cg.subject.ilriZOONOTIC DISEASESen_US
cg.volume49en_US
dc.contributor.authorFadiga, M.L.en_US
dc.contributor.authorKatjiuongua, Hikuepi B.en_US
dc.date.accessioned2014-12-17T07:04:51Zen_US
dc.date.available2014-12-17T07:04:51Zen_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/52229en_US
dc.titleIssues and strategies in ex-post evaluation of intervention against animal disease outbreaks and spreaden_US
dcterms.abstractAnimal disease outbreaks pose a significant threat in terms of potential economic losses, reduced productivity, and negative impacts on public health, food security and nutrition. This paper considers four issues in ex-post evaluation of animal disease interventions: firstly, a counterfactual involves simulating disease trajectories without the intervention. But some diseases can become endemic or become dormant after an outbreak, making it a challenge to know the true trajectory without the intervention. Secondly, without adequate design of controls and treatments, how can the estimated impacts be attributed to a given intervention? Thirdly, how do we assess costs saved by the intervention? Fourthly, given data uncertainty, would a stochastic simulation give better estimates than a deterministic one in solving for key variables? This paper addresses these issues and proposes solutions that bridge the gap between household level analysis and macro-level simulations in modelling the impact of animal diseases outbreaks.en_US
dcterms.accessRightsLimited Accessen_US
dcterms.audienceScientistsen_US
dcterms.bibliographicCitationFadiga, M.L. and Katjiuongua, H.B. 2014. Issues and strategies in ex-post evaluation of intervention against animal disease outbreaks and spread. Food Policy 49(2): 418-424.en_US
dcterms.extentp. 418-424en_US
dcterms.issued2014-12en_US
dcterms.languageenen_US
dcterms.licenseCopyrighted; all rights reserveden_US
dcterms.publisherElsevieren_US
dcterms.subjectanimal diseasesen_US
dcterms.subjectdisease controlen_US
dcterms.subjectzoonosesen_US
dcterms.subjectdevelopmenten_US
dcterms.subjectfood scienceen_US
dcterms.typeJournal Articleen_US

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