Philippine rice and rural poverty: an impact analysis of market reform using CGE

cg.coverage.countryPhilippines
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2PH
cg.coverage.regionAsia
cg.coverage.regionSouth-eastern Asia
cg.identifier.projectIFPRI - Markets, Trade, and Institutions Division
cg.number96en
cg.placeWashington, DCen
cg.reviewStatusInternal Reviewen
dc.contributor.authorCororaton, Caesar B.en
dc.date.accessioned2024-11-21T09:50:49Zen
dc.date.available2024-11-21T09:50:49Zen
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/160450
dc.titlePhilippine rice and rural poverty: an impact analysis of market reform using CGEen
dcterms.abstractThis paper looks at how Philippine trade reform which consists of tariff reduction and elimination of quantitative restrictions (QR) on rice imports will affect poverty within two world trade scenarios: Doha and free world trade. The impact of Doha is very small and generates biased effects against agriculture. The impact of Philippine trade reform within the Doha agenda magnifies this biased effect, making rural households worse-off compared to urban households. However, eliminating rice QR generates a set of effects where consumer price reduction dominates nominal income decline. Thus, real income improves and poverty declines across household groups, but the net effects are lower in rural than in urban households. The impact of a free world trade economy is favorable in terms of higher export prices and export demand for agriculture and agriculture-related manufacturing industries. This mitigates the biased effects against agriculture, and is therefore favorable to rural households. However, if Philippine trade reform is added to the analysis, the result switches back to the previous biased effects on agriculture and on rural households.en
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Access
dcterms.bibliographicCitationCororaton, Caesar B. 2006. Philippine rice and rural poverty: an impact analysis of market reform using CGE. MTID Discussion Paper 96. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://hdl.handle.net/10568/160450en
dcterms.isPartOfMTID Discussion Paperen
dcterms.issued2006
dcterms.languageen
dcterms.publisherInternational Food Policy Research Instituteen
dcterms.replaceshttps://ebrary.ifpri.org/digital/collection/p15738coll2/id/125225en
dcterms.subjectriceen
dcterms.subjectagricultureen
dcterms.subjectpovertyen
dcterms.subjectcomputable general equilibrium modelsen
dcterms.subjectfree tradeen
dcterms.subjectconsumer pricesen
dcterms.typeWorking Paper

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