Geographic distribution of Colombian spittlebugs (Hemiptera: Cercopidae) via ecological niche modeling: a prediction for the main tropical forages’ pest in the Neotropics

cg.authorship.typesCGIAR single centreen
cg.authorship.typesCGIAR and developing country instituteen
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Center for Tropical Agricultureen
cg.contributor.affiliationSemillas Papalotla, Mexicoen
cg.contributor.crpClimate Change, Agriculture and Food Security
cg.contributor.crpLivestock
cg.coverage.countryColombia
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2CO
cg.coverage.regionAmericas
cg.coverage.regionSouth America
cg.coverage.regionLatin America and the Caribbean
cg.creator.identifierValheria Castiblanco: 0000-0003-2801-2153
cg.creator.identifierLuis M. Hernandez: 0000-0002-8816-0572
cg.creator.identifierJuan Andrés Cardoso Arango: 0000-0002-0252-4655
cg.howPublishedFormally Publisheden
cg.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.3389/fsufs.2021.725774en
cg.identifier.projectCCAFS: PII-LAM_LivestockPlus
cg.isijournalISI Journalen
cg.issn2571-581Xen
cg.journalFrontiers in Sustainable Food Systemsen
cg.reviewStatusPeer Reviewen
cg.subject.alliancebiovciatTROPICAL FORAGESen
cg.subject.ccafsLOW EMISSIONS DEVELOPMENTen
cg.subject.impactAreaEnvironmental health and biodiversity
cg.subject.sdgSDG 12 - Responsible consumption and productionen
cg.volume5en
dc.contributor.authorHernández, Luis Miguelen
dc.contributor.authorEspitia, Paula A.en
dc.contributor.authorFlorián, Daviden
dc.contributor.authorCastiblanco, Valheriaen
dc.contributor.authorCardoso Arango, Juan Andrésen
dc.contributor.authorGómez-Jiménez, María I.en
dc.date.accessioned2021-11-16T09:33:15Zen
dc.date.available2021-11-16T09:33:15Zen
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/116101
dc.titleGeographic distribution of Colombian spittlebugs (Hemiptera: Cercopidae) via ecological niche modeling: a prediction for the main tropical forages’ pest in the Neotropicsen
dcterms.abstractSpittlebug complex (Hemiptera: Cercopidae) includes the main tropical pests in Central and South America in cultivated pastures. We aimed to estimate the potential distribution of Aeneolamia varia, A. lepidior, A. reducta, Prosapia simulans, Zulia carbonaria, and Z. pubescens throughout the Neotropics using ecological niche modelling. These six insect species are common in Colombia and cause large economic losses. Records of these species, prior to the 2000 year, were compiled from human observations, specimens from CIAT Arthropod Reference Collection (CIATARC), GBIF, and an extensive literature review. Different ecological niche models (ENM) were generated for each species: maximum entropy (Maxent), generalized linear (glm), multivariate adaptive regression spline (MARS), and random forest model (rf). Bioclimatic datasets were obtained from WorldClim and the 19 available variables were used as predictors. Future changes in the potential geographical distribution were simulated in ENMs generated based on climate change projections for 2050 in two scenarios: optimistic and pessimistic. The results suggest that i) colombian spittlebugs imposes an important threat to Urochloa production in different South American countries, ii) each spittlebug species has a unique geographic distribution pattern, iii) in the future all the six species are likely to invade new geographic areas even in a pessimistic scenario, iv) A. lepidior and A. reducta showed a higher number of suitable habitats across Colombia, Venezuela, Brazil, Peru, and Ecuador, where predicted risk is more severe. Our data will allow to i) monitor the dispersion of these spittlebug species, ii) design strategies for integrated spittlebug management that include resistant cultivars adoption to mitigate potential economic damage, and iii) implement regulatory actions to prevent their introduction and spread in geographic areas where the species are not yet found.en
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Access
dcterms.audienceScientistsen
dcterms.available2021-11-25
dcterms.bibliographicCitationHernández, L.M.; Espitia, P.; Florián, D.; Castiblanco, V.; Cardoso, J.A.; Gómez-Jiménez, M.I. (2021) Geographic distribution of Colombian spittlebugs (Hemiptera: Cercopidae) via ecological niche modeling: a prediction for the main tropical forages’ pest in the Neotropics. Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems 5:725774. ISSN: 2571-581Xen
dcterms.issued2021-10
dcterms.languageen
dcterms.licenseCC-BY-4.0
dcterms.publisherFrontiersen
dcterms.subjectecological niche modellingen
dcterms.subjectclimate changeen
dcterms.subjectpestsen
dcterms.subjectgeographical distributionen
dcterms.subjectforageen
dcterms.subjectcercopidaeen
dcterms.subjectcambio climáticoen
dcterms.subjectplagasen
dcterms.subjectdistribución geográficaen
dcterms.subjectforajjesen
dcterms.subjectaeneolamiaen
dcterms.subjectbrachiariaen
dcterms.typeJournal Article

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