Estimating income mobility in Colombia using maximum entropy econometrics.

cg.coverage.countryColombiaen_US
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2COen_US
cg.coverage.regionLatin Americaen_US
cg.coverage.regionSouth Americaen_US
cg.creator.identifierSamuel Morley: 0000-0003-3047-8112en_US
cg.creator.identifierSherman Robinson: 0000-0002-5478-9372en_US
cg.identifier.projectIFPRI - Archiveen_US
cg.number26en_US
cg.placeWashington, DCen_US
cg.reviewStatusInternal Reviewen_US
dc.contributor.authorMorley, Samuelen_US
dc.contributor.authorRobinson, Shermanen_US
dc.contributor.authorHarris, Rebecca Leeen_US
dc.date.accessioned2024-11-21T09:54:15Zen_US
dc.date.available2024-11-21T09:54:15Zen_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/161222en_US
dc.titleEstimating income mobility in Colombia using maximum entropy econometrics.en_US
dcterms.abstractIncome mobility can be viewed as a first-order Markov process, with a matrix of transition probabilities which measure how individuals move from an income status in time t to a new status in time t+1. Direct estimation of transition matrices is difficult, since time series panel data are unavailable and limited data on the distribution of income do not suffice to determine the coefficients mathematically, let alone provide enough degrees of freedom for estimation. In this paper, we show that maximum entropy econometrics offers a feasible way to estimate transition matrices using distributional data from Colombia. Using a cross-entropy estimation method, we make efficient use of prior information about the structure of the transition matrices and how they vary with age. The approach is very flexible, allowing the use of “information” in a variety of forms such as inequality constraints, errors in measurement, and prior estimates. Under weak assumptions about the error generation process, we can derive test statistics based on the likelihood ratio measuring the significance of the estimation. The model fits the data well in that the predicted and actual distributions for period t+1 are close. The results show that there is a large degree of upward mobility in Colombia, especially at the bottom of the income distribution and for the younger age cohorts.en_US
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Accessen_US
dcterms.bibliographicCitationMorley, Samuel; Robinson, Sherman; Harris, Rebecca Lee. 1998. Estimating income mobility in Colombia using maximum entropy econometrics. TMD Discussion Paper 26. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/161222en_US
dcterms.extent3 p.en_US
dcterms.isPartOfTMD Discussion Paperen_US
dcterms.issued1998en_US
dcterms.languageenen_US
dcterms.publisherInternational Food Policy Research Instituteen_US
dcterms.replaceshttps://ebrary.ifpri.org/digital/collection/p15738coll2/id/125681en_US
dcterms.subjectincome distributionen_US
dcterms.subjecteconometricsen_US
dcterms.typeWorking Paperen_US

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