Qualitative risk assessment of HPAI H5N1 transmission between small-scale commercial broiler chicken farms in Bogor, Indonesia

cg.contributor.donorDepartment for International Development, United Kingdomen
cg.coverage.countryIndonesia
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2ID
cg.coverage.regionAsia
cg.coverage.regionSouth-eastern Asia
cg.number33en
cg.subject.ilriANIMAL DISEASESen
cg.subject.ilriANIMAL HEALTHen
cg.subject.ilriDISEASE CONTROLen
cg.subject.ilriEMERGING DISEASESen
cg.subject.ilriLIVESTOCKen
cg.subject.ilriPOULTRYen
cg.subject.ilriZOONOTIC DISEASESen
cg.subject.ilriHPAIen
cg.subject.ilriAGRI-HEALTHen
dc.contributor.authorIdris, S.en
dc.contributor.authorPalupi, M.F.en
dc.contributor.authorSudiana, E.en
dc.contributor.authorUnger, Freden
dc.date.accessioned2011-08-22T18:59:08Zen
dc.date.available2011-08-22T18:59:08Zen
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/5419
dc.titleQualitative risk assessment of HPAI H5N1 transmission between small-scale commercial broiler chicken farms in Bogor, Indonesiaen
dcterms.abstractAs part of the DFID-funded Pro-Poor HPAI Risk Reduction Project, a qualitative risk assessment was conducted for risk questions agreed during a stakeholder workshop in November, 2008, related to transmission of HPAI H5N1 between small-scale commercial broiler farms in the District and Municipality of Bogor. The overall risk of transmission was assessed as low, and risk estimates for the different pathways range from negligible to low. The risk associated with movement of contaminated visitor and equipment exchange was assessed as the highest. The risk of transmission via free-ranging poultry and wild birds was assessed negligible to very low, while via other pathways was assessed as negligible. It is important to note that the risk was estimated low because of a conditional probability effect (risk of infection/prevalence of HPAI H5N1 in small-scale broiler farm when data were collected was low). However, there are many steps/mechanisms of transmission associated with higher risk. It is highlighted that increasing prevalence of HPAI H5N1 in broiler farms will lead to increasing of risk of transmission. All risk estimates, except the one considering transmission via manure, were associated with a high uncertainty because of the lack of data on both the poultry sector in Indonesia and the epidemiology of HPAIV H5N1 more generally.en
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Access
dcterms.bibliographicCitationIdris, S., Palupi, M.F., Sudiana, E., and Unger, F. 2010. Qualitative risk assessment of HPAI H5N1 transmission between small-scale commercial broiler chicken farms in Bogor, Indonesia. HPAI Africa/Indonesia Team Working Paper 33. Washington, DC: IFPRI.en
dcterms.isPartOfHPAI Africa/Indonesia Team Working Paperen
dcterms.issued2010-10
dcterms.languageen
dcterms.licenseOther
dcterms.publisherInternational Food Policy Research Instituteen
dcterms.publisherInternational Livestock Research Instituteen
dcterms.publisherRVCen
dcterms.subjecthighly pathogenic avian influenzaen
dcterms.subjectpoultryen
dcterms.typeWorking Paper

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