Ex‐ante evaluation of promising soybean innovations for sub‐Saharan Africa

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cg.authorship.typesCGIAR multi-centreen
cg.authorship.typesCGIAR single centreen
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Institute of Tropical Agricultureen
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Food Policy Research Instituteen
cg.contributor.crpAgriculture for Nutrition and Health
cg.contributor.crpMaize
cg.contributor.crpPolicies, Institutions, and Markets
cg.contributor.crpRoots, Tubers and Bananas
cg.contributor.donorBill & Melinda Gates Foundationen
cg.coverage.countryBenin
cg.coverage.countryBurkina Faso
cg.coverage.countryCameroon
cg.coverage.countryEthiopia
cg.coverage.countryMalawi
cg.coverage.countryNigeria
cg.coverage.countryRwanda
cg.coverage.countryTanzania
cg.coverage.countryZambia
cg.coverage.countryZimbabwe
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2BJ
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2BF
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2CM
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2ET
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2MW
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2NG
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2RW
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2TZ
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2ZM
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2ZW
cg.coverage.regionAfrica
cg.coverage.regionMiddle Africa
cg.coverage.regionEastern Africa
cg.coverage.regionSouthern Africa
cg.coverage.regionWestern Africa
cg.coverage.regionSub-Saharan Africa
cg.creator.identifierArega Alene: 0000-0002-2491-4603
cg.creator.identifierAlpha Kamara: 0000-0002-1844-2574
cg.creator.identifierVictor Manyong: 0000-0003-2477-7132
cg.creator.identifierTahirou Abdoulaye: 0000-0002-8072-1363
cg.creator.identifierKeith Wiebe: 0000-0001-6035-620X
cg.howPublishedFormally Publisheden
cg.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1002/fes3.172en
cg.identifier.iitathemePLANT PRODUCTION & HEALTH
cg.identifier.iitathemeSOCIAL SCIENCE & AGRICUSINESS
cg.identifier.projectIFPRI - Environment and Production Technology Division
cg.identifier.projectIFPRI - Global Futures and Strategic Foresight
cg.identifier.publicationRankNot ranked
cg.isijournalISI Journalen
cg.issn2048-3694en
cg.issue4en
cg.journalFood and Energy Securityen
cg.reviewStatusPeer Reviewen
cg.subject.iitaAGRIBUSINESSen
cg.subject.iitaGRAIN LEGUMESen
cg.subject.iitaIMPACT ASSESSMENTen
cg.subject.iitaPLANT HEALTHen
cg.subject.iitaPLANT PRODUCTIONen
cg.subject.iitaSOYBEANen
cg.volume8en
dc.contributor.authorGbegbelegbe, Sikaen
dc.contributor.authorAlene, A.en
dc.contributor.authorKamara, A.en
dc.contributor.authorWiebe, Keith D.en
dc.contributor.authorManyong, Victor M.en
dc.contributor.authorAbdoulaye, Tahirouen
dc.contributor.authorMkandawire, P.en
dc.date.accessioned2019-07-10T08:50:36Zen
dc.date.available2019-07-10T08:50:36Zen
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/102121
dc.titleEx‐ante evaluation of promising soybean innovations for sub‐Saharan Africaen
dcterms.abstractThis study undertakes an ex‐ante evaluation of the effects of alternative technology and policy options on soybean supply and demand in sub‐Saharan Africa (SSA) to 2050. Current soybean consumption in SSA is dominated by cooking oil followed by soybean cake used as animal feed. Due to weak processing sectors and low soybean yields, the region is currently importing about 70% of its consumption requirements. Based on the results from a geospatial bio‐economic modeling framework, soybean consumption in SSA is projected to more than double by 2050 compared to 2010 due in part to a rising population and rising incomes. On the other hand, supply from domestic production is projected to increase by 80% over the same period. Hence, by 2050, net imports into SSA would be nearly 4 times higher than supply from domestic production. Under a future drier climate, some of the production gains achieved through soybean research and extension would be lost and this would further worsen the soybean demand gap in SSA relative to the baseline. This study shows that relying on conventional breeding alone to increase soybean yields in SSA would not be enough to substantially reduce the future demand gap. A combination of promising innovations affecting the soybean value chain across SSA would be needed to close the soybean demand gap in SSA by 2050 under a drier future climate.en
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Access
dcterms.audienceScientistsen
dcterms.available2019-05-16
dcterms.bibliographicCitationGbegbelegbe, S., Alene, A., Kamara, A., Wiebe, K., Manyong, V., Abdoulaye, T. & Mkandawire, P. (2019). Ex‐ante evaluation of promising soybean innovations for sub‐Saharan Africa. Food and Energy Security, 1-16.en
dcterms.descriptionOpen Access Journalen
dcterms.extent1-16en
dcterms.issued2019-11
dcterms.languageen
dcterms.licenseCC-BY-4.0
dcterms.publisherWileyen
dcterms.replaceshttps://ebrary.ifpri.org/digital/collection/p15738coll5/id/6885en
dcterms.subjectclimate changeen
dcterms.subjectsoybeansen
dcterms.subjectproductionen
dcterms.subjectafrica south of saharaen
dcterms.subjectinnovationen
dcterms.subjectspatial dataen
dcterms.subjectmodelsen
dcterms.subjectsupply chainsen
dcterms.subjecttradeen
dcterms.subjectfood consumptionen
dcterms.subjectpricesen
dcterms.typeJournal Article

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