ASEAN, SAARC, and the indomitable China in food trade: A gravity model analysis of trade patterns

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cg.authorship.typesCGIAR single centreen
cg.contributor.crpAgriculture for Nutrition and Health
cg.contributor.crpPolicies, Institutions, and Markets
cg.contributor.donorInternational Fund for Agricultural Developmenten
cg.contributor.donorAustralian Centre for International Agricultural Researchen
cg.coverage.countryChina
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2CN
cg.coverage.regionAsia
cg.coverage.regionEastern Asia
cg.creator.identifierManmeet Ajmani: 0000-0001-7175-1248
cg.creator.identifierVishruta Choudhary: 0000-0001-8380-9582
cg.creator.identifierAvinash Kishore: 0000-0003-4625-4922
cg.creator.identifierDevesh Roy: 0000-0003-4795-7240
cg.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.133662en
cg.identifier.projectIFPRI - Agricultural Transformation and Market Integration
cg.identifier.projectIFPRI - South Asia Region
cg.identifier.publicationRankNot ranked
cg.number1914en
cg.placeWashington, DCen
cg.reviewStatusInternal Reviewen
dc.contributor.authorAjmani, Manmeet Singhen
dc.contributor.authorChoudhary, Vishrutaen
dc.contributor.authorKishore, Avinashen
dc.contributor.authorRoy, Deveshen
dc.date.accessioned2024-05-22T12:14:39Zen
dc.date.available2024-05-22T12:14:39Zen
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/143495
dc.titleASEAN, SAARC, and the indomitable China in food trade: A gravity model analysis of trade patternsen
dcterms.abstractWe assess food trade among and across two Asian trading blocs, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC), and China. Using most recent innovations in the empirical trade model, we find subpar trade for several countries but some over-trading as well, likely driven by weak economic fundamentals determining trade. Further, we find that Bangladesh, Philippines, Sri Lanka, and Viet Nam under-export to China, and to nearly all ASEAN and SAARC countries, with the magnitude varying between 40 and 100 percent below the predicted trade levels. While checking for competing explanations, we identify trading pair time variant factors such as tariffs reducing the magnitude of under-exporting of ASEAN and SAARC countries by 1 and 3 percent, respectively. We also highlight unobserved variables such as trust between countries as factors important for strong agricultural trade.en
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Access
dcterms.bibliographicCitationAjmani, Manmeet; Choudhary, Vishruta; Kishore, Avinash; and Roy, Devesh. 2020. ASEAN, SAARC, and the indomitable China in food trade: A gravity model analysis of trade patterns. IFPRI Discussion Paper 1914. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.133662.en
dcterms.extent40 p.en
dcterms.isPartOfIFPRI Discussion Paperen
dcterms.issued2020-02-01
dcterms.languageen
dcterms.publisherInternational Food Policy Research Instituteen
dcterms.relationhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/147391en
dcterms.relationhttps://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.133278en
dcterms.relationhttps://www.business-standard.com/article/opinion/leaving-rcep-a-missed-opportunity-120011601418_1.htmlen
dcterms.relationhttps://www.theweek.in/news/biz-tech/2018/05/22/from-look-east-act-east-india-must-think-big-and-act-big.htmlen
dcterms.relationhttps://thediplomat.com/2018/01/how-did-sanctions-impact-myanmar/en
dcterms.replaceshttps://ebrary.ifpri.org/digital/collection/p15738coll2/id/133662en
dcterms.subjectmodelsen
dcterms.subjectaseanen
dcterms.subjecttradeen
dcterms.subjectgravity chartsen
dcterms.subjectinternational tradeen
dcterms.typeWorking Paper

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