ASEAN, SAARC, and the indomitable China in food trade: A gravity model analysis of trade patterns

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cg.authorship.typesCGIAR single centreen_US
cg.contributor.crpAgriculture for Nutrition and Healthen_US
cg.contributor.crpPolicies, Institutions, and Marketsen_US
cg.contributor.donorInternational Fund for Agricultural Developmenten_US
cg.contributor.donorAustralian Centre for International Agricultural Researchen_US
cg.coverage.countryChinaen_US
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2CNen_US
cg.coverage.regionAsiaen_US
cg.coverage.regionEastern Asiaen_US
cg.creator.identifierManmeet Ajmani: 0000-0001-7175-1248en_US
cg.creator.identifierVishruta Choudhary: 0000-0001-8380-9582en_US
cg.creator.identifierAvinash Kishore: 0000-0003-4625-4922en_US
cg.creator.identifierDevesh Roy: 0000-0003-4795-7240en_US
cg.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.133662en_US
cg.identifier.projectIFPRI - Agricultural Transformation and Market Integrationen_US
cg.identifier.projectIFPRI - South Asia Regionen_US
cg.identifier.publicationRankNot rankeden_US
cg.number1914en_US
cg.placeWashington, DCen_US
cg.reviewStatusInternal Reviewen_US
dc.contributor.authorAjmani, Manmeet Singhen_US
dc.contributor.authorChoudhary, Vishrutaen_US
dc.contributor.authorKishore, Avinashen_US
dc.contributor.authorRoy, Deveshen_US
dc.date.accessioned2024-05-22T12:14:39Zen_US
dc.date.available2024-05-22T12:14:39Zen_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/143495en_US
dc.titleASEAN, SAARC, and the indomitable China in food trade: A gravity model analysis of trade patternsen_US
dcterms.abstractWe assess food trade among and across two Asian trading blocs, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC), and China. Using most recent innovations in the empirical trade model, we find subpar trade for several countries but some over-trading as well, likely driven by weak economic fundamentals determining trade. Further, we find that Bangladesh, Philippines, Sri Lanka, and Viet Nam under-export to China, and to nearly all ASEAN and SAARC countries, with the magnitude varying between 40 and 100 percent below the predicted trade levels. While checking for competing explanations, we identify trading pair time variant factors such as tariffs reducing the magnitude of under-exporting of ASEAN and SAARC countries by 1 and 3 percent, respectively. We also highlight unobserved variables such as trust between countries as factors important for strong agricultural trade.en_US
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Accessen_US
dcterms.bibliographicCitationAjmani, Manmeet; Choudhary, Vishruta; Kishore, Avinash; and Roy, Devesh. 2020. ASEAN, SAARC, and the indomitable China in food trade: A gravity model analysis of trade patterns. IFPRI Discussion Paper 1914. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.133662.en_US
dcterms.extent40 p.en_US
dcterms.isPartOfIFPRI Discussion Paperen_US
dcterms.issued2020-02-01en_US
dcterms.languageenen_US
dcterms.publisherInternational Food Policy Research Instituteen_US
dcterms.relationhttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/147391en_US
dcterms.relationhttps://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.133278en_US
dcterms.relationhttps://www.business-standard.com/article/opinion/leaving-rcep-a-missed-opportunity-120011601418_1.htmlen_US
dcterms.relationhttps://www.theweek.in/news/biz-tech/2018/05/22/from-look-east-act-east-india-must-think-big-and-act-big.htmlen_US
dcterms.relationhttps://thediplomat.com/2018/01/how-did-sanctions-impact-myanmar/en_US
dcterms.replaceshttps://ebrary.ifpri.org/digital/collection/p15738coll2/id/133662en_US
dcterms.subjectmodelsen_US
dcterms.subjectaseanen_US
dcterms.subjecttradeen_US
dcterms.subjectgravity chartsen_US
dcterms.subjectinternational tradeen_US
dcterms.typeWorking Paperen_US

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