What do we know about the future of crop pests and pathogens in relation to food systems?

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cg.authorship.typesCGIAR multi-centreen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationBioversity International and the International Center for Tropical Agricultureen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Center for Tropical Agricultureen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Maize and Wheat Improvement Centeren_US
cg.contributor.donorCGIAR Trust Funden_US
cg.contributor.initiativeForesighten_US
cg.creator.identifierKai Sonder: 0000-0001-9672-5361en_US
cg.identifier.urlhttps://www.cgiar.org/news-events/news/what-do-we-know-about-the-future-of-crop-pests-and-pathogens-in-relation-to-food-systems/en_US
cg.subject.actionAreaSystems Transformationen_US
dc.contributor.authorPetsakos, Athanasiosen_US
dc.contributor.authorMontes, Carloen_US
dc.contributor.authorPequeno, Diego Notelo Luzen_US
dc.contributor.authorSchiek, Benjaminen_US
dc.contributor.authorSonder, Kaien_US
dc.date.accessioned2023-01-13T21:08:25Zen_US
dc.date.available2023-01-13T21:08:25Zen_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/127095en_US
dc.titleWhat do we know about the future of crop pests and pathogens in relation to food systems?en_US
dcterms.abstractKey messages - Crop pests and pathogens (P&P) can cause substantial yield losses and pose a threat to global food security. Losses at regional level can even exceed 40% for some crops like maize and rice. - Most studies show that warmer climate creates a conducive, albeit spatially variable, environment for P&P spread. However, existing foresight research is largely biophysical in nature and focuses on individual pathosystems, examined mostly at national level. As such, projections of the magnitude of economic impacts of changing patterns of P&P are missing. - Global assessment of model-based historical and future P&P impacts on food systems remains constrained by the small number of available models that can estimate yield losses under contrasting climate and agroecological conditions. - Further efforts are needed to improve data accessibility, model versatility, and simulation platforms, and to establish international observation and modeling networks.en_US
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Accessen_US
dcterms.audienceCGIARen_US
dcterms.bibliographicCitationPetsakos, Athanasios; Montes, Carlo; Pequeno, Diego; Schiek, Benjamin; and Sonder, Kai. 2022. CGIAR Initiative on Foresight blog post. CGIAR. https://www.cgiar.org/news-events/news/what-do-we-know-about-the-future-of-crop-pests-and-pathogens-in-relation-to-food-systems/en_US
dcterms.issued2022-12-20en_US
dcterms.languageenen_US
dcterms.licenseCC-BY-4.0en_US
dcterms.publisherCGIAR System Organizationen_US
dcterms.subjectcropsen_US
dcterms.subjectplant pestsen_US
dcterms.subjectpathogensen_US
dcterms.subjectyielden_US
dcterms.subjectfood securityen_US
dcterms.subjectmaizeen_US
dcterms.subjectriceen_US
dcterms.subjectclimateen_US
dcterms.subjectfood systemsen_US
dcterms.subjectdata analysisen_US
dcterms.typeBlog Posten_US

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