What do we know about the future of crop pests and pathogens in relation to food systems?

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cg.authorship.typesCGIAR multi-centreen
cg.contributor.affiliationBioversity International and the International Center for Tropical Agricultureen
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Center for Tropical Agricultureen
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Maize and Wheat Improvement Centeren
cg.contributor.donorCGIAR Trust Funden
cg.contributor.initiativeForesight
cg.creator.identifierKai Sonder: 0000-0001-9672-5361en
cg.identifier.urlhttps://www.cgiar.org/news-events/news/what-do-we-know-about-the-future-of-crop-pests-and-pathogens-in-relation-to-food-systems/en
cg.subject.actionAreaSystems Transformation
dc.contributor.authorPetsakos, Athanasiosen
dc.contributor.authorMontes, Carloen
dc.contributor.authorPequeno, Diego Notelo Luzen
dc.contributor.authorSchiek, Benjaminen
dc.contributor.authorSonder, Kaien
dc.date.accessioned2023-01-13T21:08:25Zen
dc.date.available2023-01-13T21:08:25Zen
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/127095
dc.titleWhat do we know about the future of crop pests and pathogens in relation to food systems?en
dcterms.abstractKey messages - Crop pests and pathogens (P&P) can cause substantial yield losses and pose a threat to global food security. Losses at regional level can even exceed 40% for some crops like maize and rice. - Most studies show that warmer climate creates a conducive, albeit spatially variable, environment for P&P spread. However, existing foresight research is largely biophysical in nature and focuses on individual pathosystems, examined mostly at national level. As such, projections of the magnitude of economic impacts of changing patterns of P&P are missing. - Global assessment of model-based historical and future P&P impacts on food systems remains constrained by the small number of available models that can estimate yield losses under contrasting climate and agroecological conditions. - Further efforts are needed to improve data accessibility, model versatility, and simulation platforms, and to establish international observation and modeling networks.en
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Access
dcterms.audienceCGIARen
dcterms.bibliographicCitationPetsakos, Athanasios; Montes, Carlo; Pequeno, Diego; Schiek, Benjamin; and Sonder, Kai. 2022. CGIAR Initiative on Foresight blog post. CGIAR. https://www.cgiar.org/news-events/news/what-do-we-know-about-the-future-of-crop-pests-and-pathogens-in-relation-to-food-systems/en
dcterms.issued2022-12-20en
dcterms.languageen
dcterms.licenseCC-BY-4.0
dcterms.publisherCGIAR System Organizationen
dcterms.subjectcropsen
dcterms.subjectplant pestsen
dcterms.subjectpathogensen
dcterms.subjectyielden
dcterms.subjectfood securityen
dcterms.subjectmaizeen
dcterms.subjectriceen
dcterms.subjectclimateen
dcterms.subjectfood systemsen
dcterms.subjectdata analysisen
dcterms.typeBlog Post

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