Transformative horizons: reflecting on a decade of scenario-guided policy formulation

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cg.contributor.affiliationUtrecht Universityen
cg.contributor.affiliationUniversity of International Cooperationen
cg.contributor.affiliationCGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Securityen
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Livestock Research Instituteen
cg.contributor.crpClimate Change, Agriculture and Food Security
cg.creator.identifierJoost Vervoort: 0000-0001-8289-7429en
cg.creator.identifierLaura Pereira: 0000-0002-4996-7234en
cg.creator.identifierMarieke Veeger: 0000-0001-9826-9582en
cg.creator.identifierLucas Rutting: 0000-0001-9236-954Xen
cg.creator.identifierMaliha Muzammil: 0000-0002-5890-1579en
cg.creator.identifierKarlijn Muiderman: 0000-0001-8281-1242en
cg.creator.identifierPhilip Thornton: 0000-0002-1854-0182en
cg.creator.identifierLaura Cramer: 0000-0003-1559-3497en
cg.placeWageningen, The Netherlandsen
cg.subject.ccafsPRIORITIES AND POLICIES FOR CSAen
dc.contributor.authorVervoort, Joost M.en
dc.contributor.authorPereira, Lauraen
dc.contributor.authorVeeger, Mariekeen
dc.contributor.authorRutting, Lucasen
dc.contributor.authorPeou, Rathanaen
dc.contributor.authorMuzammil, Malihaen
dc.contributor.authorMuiderman, Karlijnen
dc.contributor.authorThornton, Philip K.en
dc.contributor.authorCramer, Laura K.en
dc.date.accessioned2021-12-17T13:24:45Zen
dc.date.available2021-12-17T13:24:45Zen
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/116832
dc.titleTransformative horizons: reflecting on a decade of scenario-guided policy formulationen
dcterms.abstractParticipatory foresight has proliferated rapidly in response to unprecedented global uncertainty and the need to transform to more sustainable societies. However, the link from foresight to action is often under-researched; and understanding how foresight can be used for the realization of transformative ambitions has proven particularly difficult. In this paper, we reflect on a unique case: a project that spans eleven years of scenario-guided participatory policy formulation processes for food security and agriculture under climate change across seven global regions. Many of the policy formulation processes in these regions have led to changed policies and plans as a result of participatory scenario analysis. The length, scope, and level of policy engagement that characterizes this case offers unique opportunities for learning about impactful foresight. In addition, lessons from the project have proliferated into a range of other initiatives that have often been able to complement the original project strategies with new approaches that have in turn yielded more insights. We provide core insights from the successes and failures in this unique global case for connecting foresight to action by examining interactions between 1) institutional contexts and knowledge systems; 2) relationships with the future; 3) imaginaries; 4) participation cultures; 5) process designs and participants; and 6) futures methodology. We then go on to discuss how such best practices can be ‘scaled deep’; ‘scaled out’; and ‘scaled up’ for transformative change.en
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Access
dcterms.bibliographicCitationVervoort J, Pereira L, Veeger M, Rutting L, Peou R, Muzammil M, Muiderman K, Thornton P, Cramer L. 2021. Transformative horizons: reflecting on a decade of scenario-guided policy formulation. Wageningen, the Netherlands: CGIAR Reseach Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS).en
dcterms.extent12 p.en
dcterms.issued2021-12-17en
dcterms.languageen
dcterms.licenseOther
dcterms.publisherCGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Securityen
dcterms.subjectclimate changeen
dcterms.subjectagricultureen
dcterms.subjectfood securityen
dcterms.subjectpoliciesen
dcterms.typeOther

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