Transformative horizons: reflecting on a decade of scenario-guided policy formulation

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cg.contributor.affiliationUtrecht Universityen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationUniversity of International Cooperationen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationCGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Securityen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Livestock Research Instituteen_US
cg.contributor.crpClimate Change, Agriculture and Food Securityen_US
cg.creator.identifierJoost Vervoort: 0000-0001-8289-7429en_US
cg.creator.identifierLaura Pereira: 0000-0002-4996-7234en_US
cg.creator.identifierMarieke Veeger: 0000-0001-9826-9582en_US
cg.creator.identifierLucas Rutting: 0000-0001-9236-954Xen_US
cg.creator.identifierMaliha Muzammil: 0000-0002-5890-1579en_US
cg.creator.identifierKarlijn Muiderman: 0000-0001-8281-1242en_US
cg.creator.identifierPhilip Thornton: 0000-0002-1854-0182en_US
cg.creator.identifierLaura Cramer: 0000-0003-1559-3497en_US
cg.placeWageningen, The Netherlandsen_US
cg.subject.ccafsPRIORITIES AND POLICIES FOR CSAen_US
dc.contributor.authorVervoort, Joost M.en_US
dc.contributor.authorPereira, Lauraen_US
dc.contributor.authorVeeger, Mariekeen_US
dc.contributor.authorRutting, Lucasen_US
dc.contributor.authorPeou, Rathanaen_US
dc.contributor.authorMuzammil, Malihaen_US
dc.contributor.authorMuiderman, Karlijnen_US
dc.contributor.authorThornton, Philip K.en_US
dc.contributor.authorCramer, Laura K.en_US
dc.date.accessioned2021-12-17T13:24:45Zen_US
dc.date.available2021-12-17T13:24:45Zen_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/116832en_US
dc.titleTransformative horizons: reflecting on a decade of scenario-guided policy formulationen_US
dcterms.abstractParticipatory foresight has proliferated rapidly in response to unprecedented global uncertainty and the need to transform to more sustainable societies. However, the link from foresight to action is often under-researched; and understanding how foresight can be used for the realization of transformative ambitions has proven particularly difficult. In this paper, we reflect on a unique case: a project that spans eleven years of scenario-guided participatory policy formulation processes for food security and agriculture under climate change across seven global regions. Many of the policy formulation processes in these regions have led to changed policies and plans as a result of participatory scenario analysis. The length, scope, and level of policy engagement that characterizes this case offers unique opportunities for learning about impactful foresight. In addition, lessons from the project have proliferated into a range of other initiatives that have often been able to complement the original project strategies with new approaches that have in turn yielded more insights. We provide core insights from the successes and failures in this unique global case for connecting foresight to action by examining interactions between 1) institutional contexts and knowledge systems; 2) relationships with the future; 3) imaginaries; 4) participation cultures; 5) process designs and participants; and 6) futures methodology. We then go on to discuss how such best practices can be ‘scaled deep’; ‘scaled out’; and ‘scaled up’ for transformative change.en_US
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Accessen_US
dcterms.bibliographicCitationVervoort J, Pereira L, Veeger M, Rutting L, Peou R, Muzammil M, Muiderman K, Thornton P, Cramer L. 2021. Transformative horizons: reflecting on a decade of scenario-guided policy formulation. Wageningen, the Netherlands: CGIAR Reseach Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS).en_US
dcterms.extent12 p.en_US
dcterms.issued2021-12-17en_US
dcterms.languageenen_US
dcterms.licenseOtheren_US
dcterms.publisherCGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Securityen_US
dcterms.subjectclimate changeen_US
dcterms.subjectagricultureen_US
dcterms.subjectfood securityen_US
dcterms.subjectpoliciesen_US
dcterms.typeOtheren_US

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