Mapping and analysis of anticipatory action initiatives in Senegal and Zambia

Nur, L.; Amarnath, Giriraj. 2023. Mapping and analysis of anticipatory action initiatives in Senegal and Zambia. Colombo, Sri Lanka: International Water Management Institute (IWMI). CGIAR Initiative on Climate Resilience. 64p.

The frequency and severity of extreme weather events are presenting substantial challenges to communities and nations worldwide. The already escalating impact of climatic hazards is expected to persist due to ongoing climate change. While strides have been made in enhancing forecasting capabilities and establishing early warning systems, global coverage remains inadequate, with just 40% of African countries reporting a multi-hazard early warning system in place as of 2022. Even where forecasting and early warning systems are in place, the translation of early warnings into timely action remains a persistent challenge, as exemplified by past cases of delayed response to imminent disasters.

Addressing this issue, the concept of anticipatory action has gained prominence in recent years. It involves the systematic connection of early warning with prearranged finance and contingency planning to enable action before disaster strikes. CGIAR's ClimBeR initiative, specifically through the development of AWARE platforms, seeks to enhance anticipatory action by fostering coordination in early warning, early action, and early finance. This report aims to support the implementation of AWARE in Senegal and Zambia, by: (1) identifying initiatives and stakeholders that can benefit from or support the AWARE platform in both countries; (2) analysing gaps in the current early warning and action systems that AWARE could address, along with identifying potential opportunities it could leverage; and (3) outlining options and suggesting next steps for a more integrated engagement of the AWARE platform.

Based on the findings, the report puts forward several recommendations towards developing or strengthening national anticipatory action frameworks in Senegal and Zambia, specifically aimed at guiding future AWARE activities in both countries.