Water Risk to Development and Resilience (WR2DR)

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    Changement climatique, options d’adaptation transformatrice, gouvernance polycentrique à échelles multiples et bien-être rural dans le bassin de la rivière Oum Er-Rbia, Maroc: recommandations politiques
    (Brief, 2024-03-05) Ait El Mekki, A.; Saleth, R. M.; Amarasinghe, Upali A.; Amarnath, Giriraj; Brouziyne, Youssef
    Cette note de synthèse sur les politiques se base sur une analyse qui délimite les voies d’impact possibles caractérisées par diverses configurations de variables climatiques, économiques, politiques, techniques, institutionnelles, infrastructurelles et liées au bien-être à travers lesquelles les impacts du changement climatique sont finalement transmis sur le bien-être rural au niveau local. Le cadre analytique fournit un excellent contexte opérationnel pour évaluer les rôles de la gouvernance polycentrique à échelles multiples (MPG) dans la médiation et l’amélioration des impacts de la résilience climatique des options d’adaptation transformatrice (TAO) à la fois à travers les échelles régionales et les contextes sectoriels. L’application empirique du cadre à la région marocaine de Beni Mellal dans le bassin de l’Oum Er-Rbia montre les liens et les synergies entre les TAO et les composantes de la gouvernance qui renforcent l’efficacité des TAO. La transition vers des formes efficaces de gouvernance par le biais d’améliorations institutionnelles peut aider les institutions s’occupant des questions relatives à l’eau existantes dans le bassin, lesquelles sont soumises à une pression extrême en raison des défis posés par le changement climatique.
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    Gouvernance polycentrique à échelles multiples dans l’adaptation transformatrice au changement climatique: guide d’utilisation
    (Brief, 2024-03-05) Amarasinghe, Upali A.; Amarnath, Giriraj; Ukwattage, Sachini; Wickremasinghe, H.
    Ce dossier sur l’innovation présente un ensemble de procédures opérationnelles standardisées (POS) visant à opérationnaliser la gouvernance polycentrique à échelles multiples (MPG) en utilisant des options d’adaptation transformatrice (TAO). L’objectif : améliorer la résilience systémique contre le changement climatique. Ces procédures traitent de l’identification des caractéristiques transformatrices des options d’adaptation, des institutions impliquées dans un système de MPG et du cadre d’évaluation de l’influence de la gouvernance ex ante des TAO sur l’amélioration de la résilience climatique par le biais de diverses dimensions d’impact intermédiaire. Une telle évaluation peut aider à l’allocation d’investissements dans des composantes potentielles de gouvernance afin d’assurer des résultats intermédiaires améliorés, conduisant à des résultats durables dans le domaine de la résilience climatique et du bien-être rural.
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    Changement climatique, options d’adaptation transformatrice, gouvernance polycentrique à échelles multiples et bien-être rural dans le bassin de la rivière Oum Er-Rbia, au Maroc: Cadre d’évaluation
    (Brief, 2024-03-05) Saleth, R. M.; Amarasinghe, Upali A.; Amarnath, Giriraj; Ait El Mekki, A.; Brouziyne, Youssef
    Ce dossier sur l’innovation présente une méthodologie quia été développée et appliquée empiriquement au Maroc dans le but de soutenir la « mise en oeuvre d’un cadre de gouvernance polycentrique à échelles multiples pour promouvoir des options d’adaptation transformatrice au changement climatique » dans le cadre de l’objectif global du Work Package #4 (WP4) de I’Initiative du CGIAR sur la résilience climatique (overarching goal of Work Package #4 (WP4) of the CGIAR Initiative on Climate Resilience), plus communément appelé ClimBeR. La mise en oeuvre empirique au Maroc souligne l’importance des aspects dynamiques de ce processus en rassemblant tous les éléments pertinents, à savoir le changement climatique, les options d’adaptation, la structure de gouvernance, le mécanisme de transmission de l’impact et le bien-être dans un cadre analytique unique pour évaluer la transmission des impacts du changement climatique sur le bien-être rural.
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    Polycentric LocAl Led Climate AdapTation ChampION (ACTION) to build resilience to droughts in Hanzila Village, Southern Zambia
    (Report, 2023-12-01) Mweemba, C. E.; Amarnath, Giriraj; van Koppen, Barbara
    As part of the "ClimBeR: Building Systemic Resilience Against Climate Variability and Extremes" initiative, the Zambia spotlight developed a case study on "Water Access and Management in Community-based Water Tenure" in two rural communities of Zambia. The study highlighted insights into bottom-up, topdown polycentric decision-making processes that people come up with to advance local solutions to preclude challenges from the risks and impacts of climate change around the interconnectedness of water, food, and land for sustainable livelihood development and reduce people's vulnerabilities (Mweemba et al. 2023). Aside from local solutions, the study highlighted the role of external support in enhancing adaptive community capacities to respond to the impacts of climate change. This highlighted the importance of mobilizing workable solutions into next-layer interventions, such as external financing for water infrastructure through vertical and horizontal integration processes. Of significant relevance for this project stage, the Case Study on Water Access and Management in Community-based Water Tenure recommendations pointed to investment in public water infrastructure, such as boreholes, to ensure extensive coverage of people accessing water resources. Prioritizing the development of water infrastructure equally contributes to equitable access to water for drinking, domestic and productive uses and guarantees communal tenure in the ownership, access and use of communally owned sources. With recurrent droughts and uncertainty resulting from extreme weather events, investment in water provides opportunities for communities to have reliable water sources that open up opportunities for food security through small-scale crop farming activities and livestock watering, especially when and where other reliable water sources dry up due to droughts or cannot be accessed due to excessive flooding. Following up on these recommendations, ClimBeR’s LocAlly Led Climate AdapTation ChampION (ACTION) Grant Program focused on interventions driven and implemented at the local level in Hanzila community, with the involvement and leadership of community members, organizations, and local governments. For example, initial stages involved initiating collaborations with the community in Hanzila community project goals which was by followed by diagnosing of challenges resulting from impacts of climate change within the community and determining appropriate solutions for community adaptation. These interventions were tailored to the community's specific needs, priorities, and context and aimed to build resilience against the impacts of climate change. As such, the ACTION project was initiated to develop a water infrastructure for a community to build community resilience to climate change adaptation through a champion community-led project. The community of Hanzila collaborated with the ACTION Grant Program and the local authorities to pursue funding opportunities to respond to the community-identified water infrastructure requirement to fulfil their water needs. As a result of the CGIAR ClimBeR initiative, the ACTION Grant program financed the budgetary requirement of installing a solar borehole infrastructure within the community. The project highlighted the significant horizontal and vertical polycentric decisions by community members in advancing local solutions to improve access to water and the role played by government and donors in polycentric decision-making processes in providing solutions for improved access to water for drinking, domestic and productive uses.
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    Mapping and analysis of anticipatory action initiatives in Senegal and Zambia
    (Report, 2023-12-01) Nur, L.; Amarnath, Giriraj
    The frequency and severity of extreme weather events are presenting substantial challenges to communities and nations worldwide. The already escalating impact of climatic hazards is expected to persist due to ongoing climate change. While strides have been made in enhancing forecasting capabilities and establishing early warning systems, global coverage remains inadequate, with just 40% of African countries reporting a multi-hazard early warning system in place as of 2022. Even where forecasting and early warning systems are in place, the translation of early warnings into timely action remains a persistent challenge, as exemplified by past cases of delayed response to imminent disasters. Addressing this issue, the concept of anticipatory action has gained prominence in recent years. It involves the systematic connection of early warning with prearranged finance and contingency planning to enable action before disaster strikes. CGIAR's ClimBeR initiative, specifically through the development of AWARE platforms, seeks to enhance anticipatory action by fostering coordination in early warning, early action, and early finance. This report aims to support the implementation of AWARE in Senegal and Zambia, by: (1) identifying initiatives and stakeholders that can benefit from or support the AWARE platform in both countries; (2) analysing gaps in the current early warning and action systems that AWARE could address, along with identifying potential opportunities it could leverage; and (3) outlining options and suggesting next steps for a more integrated engagement of the AWARE platform. Based on the findings, the report puts forward several recommendations towards developing or strengthening national anticipatory action frameworks in Senegal and Zambia, specifically aimed at guiding future AWARE activities in both countries.
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    Early Warning, Early Action and Early Finance (AWARE) Platform: technical guide
    (Report, 2023-12-01) Alahacoon, Niranga; Amarnath, Giriraj
    The AWARE platform, a vital component of CGIAR's Climate Resilience initiative, stands as a crucial tool connecting early warning systems, proactive measures, and timely financial interventions. Designed for anticipatory action, AWARE empowers stakeholders to mitigate the impact of disasters before they occur, emphasizing multi-level coordination and collaboration for effective responsiveness. AWARE disseminates comprehensive information across climate, market dynamics, health, nutrition, and population displacement. It fosters collaborative efforts among diverse partners, promoting joint actions to strengthen preparedness and streamline response mechanisms. The platform targets government departments, agencies, humanitarian organizations, and funders to facilitate anticipatory action, identifying risks and formulating plans. Comprising six major modules, the report primarily focuses on Early Warning, Early Action, and Early Finance. The Early Warning module offers forecast and monitoring indicators, visualized through a step-by-step process. Early Action involves three phases: preparedness, readiness, and active, allowing users to input actions and collaborate seamlessly. Early Finance ensures financial resources are in place for interventions through a meticulous assessment. The report provides detailed guidance on utilizing the AWARE platform, featuring map preferences, Early Warning visualization, and Early Action protocols. It delves into forecasting indicators such as OpenWeather, NOAA Global Forecast Systems (NOAA-GFS), and International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI), and monitoring indicators like dry spell, Soil Moisture Condition Index (SMCI), and Integrated Drought Severity Index (IDSI). Flood indicators include Accumulated Rainfall (GPM), Flood (ESA), Flood (NASA), GLOFAS, and GeoGlows. Early Action, a key component, involves a step-by-step approach and accommodates user and administrator roles. Users can add, edit, and visualize early action protocols, fostering collaboration. Early Finance ensures financial backing for interventions, and the system generates comprehensive reports, facilitating information sharing. The training manual concludes by emphasizing the user-friendly nature of the guide, with interactive symbols, meaningful indicators, and a breakdown of modules. It encourages users to leverage map preferences for diverse base layers, enhancing data visualization.
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    Predicting malaria prevalence with machine learning models using satellite-based climate information: technical report
    (Report, 2023-12-01) Ileperuma, Kaveesha; Jampani, Mahesh; Sellahewa, Uvindu; Panjwani, Shweta; Amarnath, Giriraj
    The current report presents a machine learning model developed to predict malaria prevalence based on rainfall patterns, specifically tailored to different regions within Senegal. The developed model takes into account the varying climate conditions across regions to provide a more localized and accurate prediction. The primary input parameters used for prediction include rainfall, month, and year, allowing the model to capture each region's seasonal variations and trends. This research aims to enhance the precision of malaria predictions, contributing to more effective and targeted public health measures. The model is designed to provide future forecasts, offering valuable insights into early warning signals to help anticipate and mitigate the impact of malaria outbreaks. This proactive approach enables authorities and healthcare professionals to prepare and implement preventive measures in advance, potentially reducing the severity of malaria-related issues and aiding in the allocation of resources where they are most needed. By tailoring the prediction model to the unique characteristics of each region in Senegal, the current research addresses the localized nature of malaria outbreaks, recognizing that factors such as climate, geography, and environmental conditions can significantly influence the prevalence of malaria. The integration of predictive analytics and models in public health initiatives allows for a more strategic and responsive approach to malaria management, ultimately contributing to the overall well-being of the affected communities. This report includes an explanation of the methodology used for the development of the prediction model, along with the results obtained and their implications for public health in Senegal.
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    Development of a flood index insurance product for Zambia
    (Report, 2023-12-01) Batra, N.; Amarnath, Giriraj
    Weather Risk Management Services Pvt Ltd (WRMS) is collaborating with the International Water Management Institute (IWMI) as part of the CGIAR Initiative on Climate Resilience (ClimBeR) to develop financial solutions for post-extreme climatic events. The focus is on creating parametric insurance solutions to aid vulnerable populations in managing and mitigating loss and damage caused by natural disasters, with a primary emphasis on floods. The project's scope involves a comprehensive approach to enhance community resilience through financial solutions for flood. It begins with identifying vulnerable locations using secondary data sources. The subsequent steps include developing parametric insurance products, setting triggers and damage ratios based on past events, and evaluating community vulnerability. Zambia is particularly prone to seasonal floods from November to April. Major rivers like Zambezi, Kafue, and Luangwa can lead to widespread inundation, impacting lives, displacing communities, damaging infrastructure, and disrupting agriculture. The project focuses on flood risk in specific regions, the Kafue flats area in Lusaka and Southern Provinces. Data sources crucial for assessing flood severity include river water level, dam discharge data, and rainfall. The study utilizes historical data from 1980-2023 for water level and discharge, and 2000-2020 for rainfall, collected from multiple locations in the Kafue plains area. The development of the flood index-based insurance product involves analyzing data to determine triggers for flash floods and riverine floods. The shortlisted region experienced severe flooding in the past, and detailed analysis has been done to validate if the collected data sets capture both the intensity and duration of those extreme events. The proposed index insurance product features triggers based on water level and rainfall data, offering fast and transparent settlement with low administrative costs. For riverine floods, payouts depend on the increase in daily water level from a set benchmark, considering the number of days above the threshold. For flash floods, compensation is triggered by excess rainfall over a specified period. Ultimately, the project aims to offer a combined flood coverage product addressing both flash and riverine floods, contributing to the overall goal of strengthening disaster resilience through integrated risk analysis, financial solutions, and actionable protocols.
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    Capacity development workshop on Anticipatory Action
    (Conference Proceedings, 2023-12-01) Alahacoon, Niranga; Amarnath, Giriraj; Gnanatheepan, W.
    To enhance disaster management strategies in Sri Lanka, crucial change from reactive to proactive approach is important. Anticipatory Action, a proactive approach, involves early risk identification, monitoring, and preparedness measures. Establishing an Anticipatory Action framework requires collaboration and awareness among relevant agencies. A comprehensive two-day residence training program, designed by World Vision Lanka (WVL) and the International Water Management Institute (IWMI), aimed to equip government agencies with skills to develop Anticipatory Action protocols. The program covered key modules, including the concept of Anticipatory Action, components involving knowledge products and tools, distinctions from traditional response mechanisms, viability assessment, early warning practices, and the development of Anticipatory Action protocols and triggers. Special emphasis was placed on financial integration, MEAL planning, simulations, and addressing operational challenges. A total of 27 Participants from Disaster Management Centre (DMC), Department of Meteorology (DOM) National Building Research Organization (NBRO), Irrigation Department (ID), and National Disaster Relief Services Centre (NDRSC) actively participate for the training. The program utilized a module-based approach for an interactive learning experience. The program concluded with discussions on the way forward, emphasizing Anticipatory Action's essential role in national disaster reduction, highlighting a collaborative commitment to enhancing disaster preparedness and management in Sri Lanka.
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    Development of ‘Leave No One Behind’ indicators on Sustainable Development Goals and targets for ClimBeR project countries
    (Report, 2023-12-01) Chakrabarti, P. G. D.; Amarnath, Giriraj
    CGIAR Initiative on Climate Resilience (ClimBeR) focuses on seven representative, low and middle income countries in Africa, Asia and Latin America naming Kenya Morocco, Senegal, Zambia, Philippines, Sri Lanka and Guatemala. One of the work packages of the project involves development of LNOB indicators for the project countries across the entire spectrum of Sustainable Development Goals (SDG). LNOB or ‘Leave No One behind’ is the overarching philosophy of 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development adopted by the United Nations, cutting across all the SDGs and its targets. The UN system has developed through consultative process a set of indicators for measuring progress of these goals and targets, but no separate indicators have been developed on LNOB. This paper has ventured into the tasks of developing LNOB indicators on SDGs, examine the requirements of disaggregated data for measuring progress on these indicators, explore the availability of such data within the UN system and the national statistical systems of the ClimBer project countries, and recommend a set of LNOB indicators that can be adopted for the project. The paper is structured in seven sections. Section one introduces the philosophy of Leave No One Behind (LNOB) and section two unpacks the philosophy into its three main components – equality, non-discrimination and empowerment. Section three provides an overview of 17 Sustainable Goals, and its 169 targets, as included in 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. A set of 231 unique indicators for measuring progress in the implementation of these goals and targets, and the tier classification of the indicators is also presented in this section. Section four identifies 100 unique indicators that are relevant for measuring progress on LNOB, and examines the disaggregation of data required on each of these indicators. It is found that 97 out of 100 LNOB indicators require disaggregation on more than 1 out 10 parameters identified for disaggregation, such as sex, age, income, education, occupation, disability, location, ethnicity or indigenous status and status of citizenship. Section five examines the availability of disaggregated data on LNOB indicators within the UN system for countries in general and for ClimBer project countries in particular. It further examines the availability of disaggregated data within the statistical systems of the seven ClimBer project countries. It is found conclusively that the required datasets are not available in the project countries on the LNOB indicators and it is not possible to develop or construct such data within the time span of the project.Section six suggests that even though LNOB indicators based on 17 SDGs and their targets cannot be adopted for the project, it is possible to develop project based LNOB indicators aligned with the SDGs. A set of 12 such ClimBer project based indicators are developed on which disaggregated data can be generated within the project. Section seven sums up the main recommendations of the study for the consideration of the ClimBer project authorities.
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    Climate Smart Governance Dashboard: technical guide
    (Manual, 2023-12-01) Alahacoon, Niranga; Amarnath, Giriraj
    The Climate-Smart Governance (CSG) Dashboard stands as an innovative platform, providing data on climate-related hazards, vulnerability, climate scenarios, and sector-specific information. Developed as part of the CGIAR initiative on Climate Resilience (ClimBeR), the CSG Dashboard plays a crucial role in supporting nations undertaking the UNFCCC National Adaptation Plan (NAP) process. Aligned with the iterative nature of the NAP process, the CSG Dashboard enhances adaptive capacity and resilience, minimizing vulnerability to climate change impacts. The training manual aims to guide users through the platform, ensuring ease of use and a clear understanding of its functionalities. The homepage offers an overview of the project, collaborative partners, and statistical data. Users register to access country-specific information. The landing page includes sections such as About Us, Our Team, Resources, Language, and Login. The platform comprises eight main subpages, including Country Overview, Climate Outlook, Project Tracker, Geo Intelligence Tools, Monitoring and Evaluation, Development Indicators, Adaption Catalog, and Investment Portfolio Planning. Users can navigate through these modules for detailed information, facilitated by the "View More" option. This module provides a comprehensive snapshot of a country, including water resources, agriculture, ecosystems, health, and climate hazards. It incorporates vital indicators like Human Development Index, electricity access, internet usage, and adaptive capacity. Historical and future climate data offer insights into the environmental and socio-economic landscape. Utilizing UNFCCC Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, this module projects a nation's risk under different climate policies and regions. Sub-modules include Climate Risk Profile, Future Climate Risk, Climate Risk Visualizer, and Climate Sectoral Impacts, allowing users to explore forecast predictions for climate variables. A powerful visualization tool, the Project Tracker aids in systematically monitoring adaptation, mitigation, and cross-cutting initiatives. Users can assess projects, identify successful strategies, and explore project details by category. The module also allows searching and viewing projects on a map. This component serves as a dynamic hub for overseeing climate change projects, enabling input, organization, and visualization of project data. Users can add, modify, delete projects, and view progress and reports associated with outcomes. This page offers detailed country-level information on geospatial data. Users can visualize, analyze, and interpret data, tailoring exploration with filters and comparing hazard and risk indicators. Administrative boundaries, project distribution, hydrology, infrastructure, hazard, and risk indicators are available. Users can explore individual Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in detail, assessing a country's progress towards meeting UN SDGs. The module guides monitoring, and evaluation teams and allows users to select specific SDGs for trend analysis. Showcasing global climate adaptation projects, this module encourages users to contribute project information. Users can visualize project distribution on a map, filter projects, and view individual project details. This module evaluates a country's economy and climate-related risks, focusing on GDP impacts across different climate scenarios. Policymakers can analyze potential financial implications and attract donor investment. The CSG Dashboard, developed under the CGIAR initiative, serves as a comprehensive solution, addressing challenges in climate-related initiatives. By consolidating data, providing planning tools, and adopting collaboration, it plays a critical role in enhancing adaptive capacity, resilience, and informed governance. The interconnected modules create a responsive and user-friendly platform, empowering stakeholders to make informed decisions and contribute to climate resilience globally.
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    Community participation, equity and integrity in polycentric governance for climate resilience: evidence from Kenya and Zambia
    (Report, 2023-12-01) van Koppen, Barbara; Amarnath, Giriraj; Mweemba, C.; Schreiner, B.; Njoroge, D.; Keega, M.; Osoro, G.
    Inclusive community participation in bottom-up polycentric governance is at the heart of recognitional, procedural, distributional and inter-generational equity and of integrity of international, national and district-scale interventions to improve climate resilience in marginalized rural areas. This Technical Brief summarizes evidence of four ClimBeR and ACTION initiatives in Kenya, in collaboration with the Water Integrity Network, and in Zambia that operationalized these concepts into a concrete diagnosis of local water tenure as basis for the identification of solutions and their funding and implementation. At the interface between communities and government or other external support agencies, this step-wise process of co-design and implementation mobilized communities’ assets and agency of their horizontal, age-old and yet dynamic, integrated water, land and other resource governance. Typical siloes in formal vertical governance were overcome. Such community participation is probably the single most important condition for effective and sustainable performance.
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    Launch of the AWARE Platform and the National Dialogue on Sensitizing Anticipatory Action in Senegal, Dakar, Senegal, 11-12 October 2023
    (Report, 2023-12-01) Sambou, M. H. A.; Okem, Andrew Emmanuel; Jampani, Mahesh; Attoh, Emmanuel M. N. A. N.; Amarnath, Giriraj
    In October 2023, IWMI organized a workshop with the National Agency of Civil Aviation and Meteorology (ANACIM) and the support of Alliance Bioversity-CIAT on behalf of the CGIAR Initiative on Climate Resilience, ClimBeR, to launch the AWARE Platform in Senegal. This platform aims to provide early warning, early action, and finance and introduce a dialogue on sensitizing anticipatory action to mitigate climate risks. The workshop brought together 53 key stakeholders, including government officials, local and international NGO representatives, academic staff, and private sector experts. These stakeholders had diverse expertise in food security, nutrition, agriculture, environment, and disaster risk management. The workshop focused on four main sessions, including group activities and case studies, where participants shared their ideas, knowledge, and experiences to help improve the AWARE platform. The workshop highlighted the importance of cross-sectoral collaboration and diverse stakeholder engagement, particularly with government institutions, to mitigate disaster management risks in Senegal.
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    Maladaptation in Africa: causes, implications and prevention
    (Brief, 2023-08-01) Attoh, Emmanuel M. N. A. N.; Ayansina, A.; Chepcheng, L.; Craig, M.; Kapesa, T.; North, M. A.; Totin, E.; Madurga-Lopez, I.; Medina, L. ; Okem, Andrew E.; Pacillo, G.; Sax, N.; Sarzana, C.; Zvobgo, L.; Wamukoya, G.
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    Climate change, transformative adaptation options, multiscale polycentric governance, and rural welfare in Oum Er-Rbia River Basin, Morocco: policy recommendations
    (Brief, 2023-12-31) Ait El Mekki, A.; Saleth, R. M.; Amarasinghe, Upali A.; Amarnath, Giriraj; Brouziyne, Youssef
    This policy report is based on an analysis that delineates possible impacts pathways characterized by various configurations of climatic, economic, policy, technical, institutional, infrastructural, and welfare-related variables through which climate change’s impacts are transmitted ultimately on rural welfare at the grassroots level. The analytical framework provides an excellent operational context for evaluating the roles of Multiscale Polycentric Governance (MPG) in mediating and enhancing the climate resilience impacts of Transformative Adaptation Options (TAOs) both across regional scales and sectoral contexts. Empirical application of the framework to Morocco’s Beni Mellal region in the Oum Er-Rbia Basin shows linkages and synergies of TAOs and governance components that enhance the effectiveness of TAOs. Transition to effective forms of governance through institutional improvements can help the existing water institutions in the basin which are under extreme pressure due to the challenges of climate change.
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    Multiscale polycentric governance in transformative adaptation to climate change: a tool guide
    (Brief, 2023-12-31) Amarasinghe, Upali A.; Amarnath, Giriraj; Ukwattage, Sachini; Wickremasinghe, H.
    This innovation brief presents a set of standard operating procedures (SOPs) to operationalize multiscale polycentric governance (MPG) in using transformative adaptation options (TAOs) to enhance systemic resilience against climate change. The SOPs deal with identifying the transformative characteristics of adaptation options, the institutions involved in an MPG system, and the framework for assessing the ex-ante governance influence of TAOs in enhancing climate resilience via various intermediate impact dimensions. Such an evaluation can help in the allocation of investments in potential governance components to ensure enhanced intermediate outputs, leading to sustainable outcomes of climate resilience and rural welfare.
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    Climate change, transformative adaptation options, multiscale polycentric governance, and rural welfare in Oum Er-Rbia River Basin, Morocco: evaluation framework
    (Brief, 2023-12-31) Saleth, R. M.; Amarasinghe, Upali A.; Amarnath, Giriraj; Ait El Mekki, A.; Brouziyne, Youssef
    This innovation brief presents a methodology that was developed and empirically applied in Morocco to support the “setting up (of) a multiscale polycentric governance framework for promoting transformative adaptation options for climate change” as part of the overarching goal of Work Package #4 (WP4) of the CGIAR Initiative on Climate Resilience (also known as ClimBeR). The empirical application to Morocco underlines the importance of the dynamic aspects of this process by bringing together all relevant elements, i.e., climate change, adaptation options, governance structure, impact transmission mechanism, and welfare into a single analytical framework for assessing the transmission of climate change impacts on rural welfare.
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    Sri Lanka: ClimBeR Inception Workshop Report
    (Report, 2023-04-10) Jeya Raj, Renuka; Mascarenhas, M.; Amarnath, Giriraj; Amarasinghe, Upali A.; Alahacoon, Niranga; Singarachchi, Manahari
    Climate variability and extreme weather events such as floods and droughts continue to increase due to climate change. These changes will have significant impacts on low- and middle-income countries. Without transformative climate adaptation solutions, millions of smallholder farmers will face severe losses because of increased climate variability. The CGIAR Initiative on Climate Resilience (‘ClimBeR’) was designed to develop bold transformative climate actions by delivering science and innovation to transform food, land, and water systems that will help smallholder farmers and local communities better adapt to the impacts of climate variability. ClimBeR aims to increase the adaptive capacity of countries by reducing risk for producers’ livelihoods and in value chains; understanding climate security risks and identifying paths to climate-resilient peace; ensuring policymakers have the necessary evidence to develop policies and adaptation strategies; building capacity with policies that bring together local needs and available tools to enable governance for resilience; scaling climate finance; and ensuring social equity. ClimBeR currently contributes towards increasing the adaptation capacity of six focal countries: Guatemala, Kenya, Morocco, the Philippines, Senegal and Zambia. ClimBeR’s work is now being also extended to Sri Lanka, with the support of Japan’s Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries (MAFF). The international Water management Institute (IWMI) will implement ClimBeR’s Governance for Resilience (G4R) work stream in Sri Lanka. This includes working closely with partners at the local, national and regional levels to tackle the vulnerability to climate change using multi-scale polycentric governance (MPG) and a transformative adaptation framework, and co-developing products and tools to facilitate early warning, early action and early finance (AWARE) and climate smart governance (CSG).
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    Institutional mapping of adaptation options in Malwathu Oya, Yan Oya and Mi Oya river basins in Sri Lanka
    (Report, 2023-12-07) Imbulana, Upali; Amarasinghe, Upali A.; Ukwattage, Sachini; Amarnath, Giriraj; Chandrasekara, Sewwandhi; Sivananthan, Piriyanka; Seelanatha, Kaushika
    This report examines the nature of polycentric governance and transformative characteristics adaptation options in Sri Lanka. The report focuses on four major climate adaptation projects implemented in recent years, namely Climate Resilient Integrated Water Management Project (CRIWMP), Climate Resilience Improvement Project (CRIP), Climate Smart Irrigation Agriculture Project (CSIAP), and the Northwestern Province Canal Project (NWPCP). The analysis includes institutional mapping of the four projects and an assessment of the extent of polycentric governance and transformational characteristics of three specific transformational adaptation options, namely 1). Forming Cascade management committees and strengthening farmer organizations, 2). Diversification of high-value crops, climate-smart water management, and agricultural practices, and 3). Basin investment planning accounting climate change risks. The analysis found that the national-level ministries and departments dominate the planning and implementation of interventions. The methods and the extent of inputs from local and community-level institutions and farmers can be substantially improved in the planning and implementing adaptation projects. Although the adaptation interventions within the three projects have some transformational characteristics, they can be enhanced with other transformational characteristics and polycentric governance to ensure systemic changes in the socio-ecological system to address the increasing challenges of climate change.
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    Mapping of adaptation interventions in Senegal
    (Report, 2023-12-01) Ndione, Y. C.; Tall, L.; Sall, S.; Ciss, P. N.; Rousseau, E.; Amarnath, Giriraj; Okem, Andrew
    The CGIAR Initiative on Climate Resilience is geared towards Building Systemic Resilience against Climate Variability and Extremes in developing countries including Guatemala, Kenya, Morocco, the Philippines, Sri Lanka, Senegal, and Zambia. The initiative has four work packages: 1). De-risking agriculture production systems and livelihood from climate change, 2). Building production system resilience recognizing the linkages of climate, agriculture, security, and peace; 3). Developing adaptation instruments to inform policy and investments, and 4). Multiscale governance for transformative adaptation. Work Package 4 (WP4) expects to set up a bottom-up polycentric governance framework for multiscale transformative adaptation and targeted climate investments. WP4 has three components: A). Setting up a polycentric governance model and a “leave no one behind” indicator framework, and developing B). a climate smart governance dashboard to empower farmers, communities, and policy planners to plan and implement bottom-up integrated climate and water risk management interventions, and C) AWARE platform for early warning, early action, and early finance to promote integrated multiscale institutional responses to climate shocks. The Initiative Prospective Agricole et Rurale (IPAR) is supporting the International Water Management Institute (IWMI) in implementing component A of ClimBeR. This report outlines the steps undertaken in mapping adaptation interventions in Senegal as part of ClimBeR activities towards developing a bottom-up polycentric governance model for transformative multi-scale adaptation and timely targeted climate investments. The mapping exercise the review of published grey and peer-reviewed literature and interviews with key stakeholders in national structures involved in food security, climate change and/or governance of early warning systems. The IPAR team mapped 31 adaptation interventions and identified the stakeholders involved in the planning and implementation of the interventions, the geographic focus of the interventions and intended/target beneficiaries of the interviews. All the mapped intervention focused on food security with households and smallholder farmers as primary target beneficiaries. Different institutions, including government agencies and ministries, and development partners and non-govermental organisations are involved in planning and implementation of climate change adaptation in Senegal. The mapping activities, however, revealed that although the institutions identified through this mapping exercise share similar project goals and are involved in similar projects, they use different operational and institutional frameworks resulting in the lack of harmonization of tools deployed in assessing the orientation of the various interventions and duplication of interventions. The lack quality climate data was also identified as a barrier to decision making and governance of adaptation planning and implementation. Ensuring that all stakeholders across all administrative levels and sectors have the same level of information to guide their action is critical in coordinating efforts in enhancing climate adaptation action. Furthermore, a robust governance mechanism to support the governance of adaptation interventions in Senegal remain urgent priorities. Deepening these governance structures that enables cross-sectoral and multi-stakeholder collaboration is critical in enhancing progress in adaptation planning and implementation in Senegal. Mainstreaming of climate change adaptation into national, sectoral and local level policies and budgeting are important enablers of in the governance of climate adaptation.