The role of tropical forests in supporting biodiversity and hydrological integrity: a synoptic overview

cg.coverage.countryChinaen_US
cg.coverage.regionEastern Asiaen_US
cg.identifier.projectIFPRI - Archiveen_US
cg.isijournalISI Journalen_US
cg.number3635en_US
cg.placeWashington, DCen_US
cg.reviewStatusInternal Reviewen_US
dc.contributor.authorDouglas, Ellen M.en_US
dc.contributor.authorSebastian, Kateen_US
dc.contributor.authorVörösmarty, Charles J.en_US
dc.contributor.authorWood, Stanleyen_US
dc.contributor.authorChomitz, Kenneth M.en_US
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-29T12:56:58Zen_US
dc.date.available2025-01-29T12:56:58Zen_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/170423en_US
dc.titleThe role of tropical forests in supporting biodiversity and hydrological integrity: a synoptic overviewen_US
dcterms.abstractConservation of high-biodiversity tropical forests is sometimes justified on the basis of assumed hydrological benefits – in particular, reduction of flooding hazards for downstream floodplain populations. However, the ‘far-field’ link between deforestation and distant flooding has been difficult to demonstrate empirically. This simulation study assesses the relationship between forest cover and hydrology for all river basins intersecting the world’s tropical forest biomes. The study develops a consistent set of pan-tropical land cover maps, gridded at one-halfdegree latitude and longitude. It integrates these data with existing global biogeophysical data. We apply the Water Balance Model – a coarse-scale process-based hydrological model -- to assess the impact of land cover changes on runoff. We quantified these impacts of forest conversion on biodiversity and hydrology for two scenarios: historical forest conversion and the potential future conversion of the most threatened remaining tropical forests. A worst-case scenario of complete conversion of the most threatened of the remaining forested areas would mean the loss of another 3 million km2 of tropical forests. Increased annual yield from the conversion of threatened tropical forests would be less than 5% of contemporary yield in aggregate. However, about 100 million people – 80 million of them in floodplains -- would experience increases of greater than 25% in annual water flows. This might be associated with commensurate increases in peak flows, though further analysis would be necessary to gauge the impact on flooding. We highlight basins in Southeast Asia, southern China, and Latin America that warrant further study.en_US
dcterms.accessRightsLimited Accessen_US
dcterms.bibliographicCitationDouglas, Ellen M.; Sebastian, Kate; Vörösmarty, Charles J.; Wood, Stanley; Chomitz, Kenneth M. 2005. The role of tropical forests in supporting biodiversity and hydrological integrity: a synoptic overviewen_US
dcterms.isPartOfPolicy Research Working Paperen_US
dcterms.issued2005en_US
dcterms.languageenen_US
dcterms.publisherWorld Banken_US
dcterms.replaceshttps://ebrary.ifpri.org/digital/collection/p15738coll5/id/1695en_US
dcterms.subjectbiodiversityen_US
dcterms.subjectdeforestationen_US
dcterms.subjectvulnerabilityen_US
dcterms.subjecthydrologyen_US
dcterms.subjecttropical forestsen_US
dcterms.subjectwater yielden_US
dcterms.typeWorking Paperen_US

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