The economy-wide impact of Sudan’s ongoing conflict: Implications on economic activity, agrifood system and poverty

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cg.authorship.typesCGIAR single centreen
cg.contributor.donorUnited States Agency for International Developmenten
cg.coverage.countrySudan
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2SD
cg.coverage.regionEastern Africa
cg.coverage.regionSub-Saharan Africa
cg.coverage.regionAfrica
cg.coverage.regionNorthern Africa
cg.creator.identifierKhalid Siddig: 0000-0003-1339-4507
cg.creator.identifierMariam Raouf: 0000-0002-0614-6698
cg.creator.identifierMosab Ahmed: 0000-0002-1106-5286
cg.identifier.dataurlhttps://doi.org/10.7910/dvn/b1fuqlen
cg.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.136843en
cg.identifier.projectIFPRI - Development Strategies and Governance Unit
cg.identifier.projectIFPRI - Systems Transformation - Transformation Strategies
cg.identifier.publicationRankNot ranked
cg.number12en
cg.placeKhartoum, Sudanen
cg.reviewStatusInternal Reviewen
dc.contributor.authorSiddig, Khaliden
dc.contributor.authorRaouf, Mariamen
dc.contributor.authorAhmed, Mosab O. M.en
dc.date.accessioned2024-03-14T12:09:15Zen
dc.date.available2024-03-14T12:09:15Zen
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/140293
dc.titleThe economy-wide impact of Sudan’s ongoing conflict: Implications on economic activity, agrifood system and povertyen
dcterms.abstractThe armed conflict between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in Sudan entered its sixth month since it erupted on April 15th, 2023, with no signs of ending soon. The war has caused severe humanitarian catastrophe, destroyed key infrastructure, and constrained trade and production activities. Moreover, it disrupted access to public utilities, financial services, and markets, hence, triggering considerable scarcity of goods and services. In this paper, we utilize a Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) Multiplier modeling framework to assess the economywide implications of these disruptions of economic activity, productive resources, and livelihoods. Results reveal that the economy would shrink to nearly half its size before the war, household incomes decline by more than 40 percent in urban and rural areas, and the number of poor people increase by 1.8 million if the war continues until the end of the year. The impact would have been two thirds less should the war have ended before July 2023 and would be one third less if it would end before October 2023. This study therefore calls for rapid interventions from all relevant parties to help reach an end to the fighting.en
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Access
dcterms.bibliographicCitationSiddig, Khalid; Raouf, Mariam; and Ahmed, Mosab O. M. 2023. The economy-wide impact of Sudan’s ongoing conflict: Implications on economic activity, agrifood system and poverty. Sudan SSP Working Paper 12. Khartoum, Sudan: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.136843.en
dcterms.extent29 p.en
dcterms.isPartOfSudan SSP Working Paperen
dcterms.issued2023-08-21
dcterms.languageen
dcterms.languagear
dcterms.publisherInternational Food Policy Research Instituteen
dcterms.relationhttps://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.136835en
dcterms.relationhttps://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.136724en
dcterms.relationhttps://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.136701en
dcterms.relationhttps://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.136628en
dcterms.replaceshttps://ebrary.ifpri.org/digital/collection/p15738coll2/id/136843en
dcterms.replaceshttps://ebrary.ifpri.org/digital/collection/p15738coll2/id/136915en
dcterms.subjectfinancial institutionsen
dcterms.subjectmodelsen
dcterms.subjectproductionen
dcterms.subjecthousehold incomeen
dcterms.subjectmarketsen
dcterms.subjecttradeen
dcterms.subjecteconomic activitiesen
dcterms.subjectinfrastructureen
dcterms.subjectlivelihoodsen
dcterms.subjectconflictsen
dcterms.subjectpovertyen
dcterms.typeWorking Paper

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