Threshold-based flood early warning in an urbanizing catchment through multi-source data integration: satellite and citizen science contribution

cg.contributor.affiliationAddis Ababa Universityen
cg.contributor.affiliationNational University of Lesothoen
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Water Management Instituteen
cg.contributor.affiliationArba Minch Universityen
cg.contributor.affiliationNewcastle Universityen
cg.contributor.donorGlobal Challenges Research Funden
cg.coverage.countryEthiopia
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2ET
cg.coverage.subregionAddis Ababa
cg.coverage.subregionAkaki Catchment
cg.creator.identifierLikimyelesh Nigussie: 0000-0002-6380-743X
cg.creator.identifierAlemseged Tamiru Haile: 0000-0001-8647-2188
cg.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131076en
cg.identifier.iwmilibraryH053337
cg.isijournalISI Journalen
cg.issn0022-1694en
cg.journalJournal of Hydrologyen
cg.reviewStatusPeer Reviewen
cg.volume635en
dc.contributor.authorTedla, H. Z.en
dc.contributor.authorBekele, Tilaye Workuen
dc.contributor.authorNigussie, Likimyeleshen
dc.contributor.authorNegash, E. D.en
dc.contributor.authorWalsh, C. L.en
dc.contributor.authorO'Donnell, G.en
dc.contributor.authorHaile, Alemseged Tamiruen
dc.date.accessioned2024-12-20T07:16:08Zen
dc.date.available2024-12-20T07:16:08Zen
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/168115
dc.titleThreshold-based flood early warning in an urbanizing catchment through multi-source data integration: satellite and citizen science contributionen
dcterms.abstractAn effective flood early warning system is vital to take action to save lives and protect properties in urban areas which are increasingly prone to flooding. Despite substantial progress in flood early warning systems, limited available and accessible data often impede their advancement and reliability. Engaging communities affected by flooding can help address data and information gaps in flood early warning systems, facilitated by appropriate methods. This study developed and evaluated a flood threshold combination method to support a community-based flood early warning system in the Akaki catchment, home to Addis Ababa, the capital city of Ethiopia. Various flood threshold combinations were formulated, calibrated and validated by integrating multiple sources of data: rainfall, antecedent precipitation index estimates, Sentinel-1 Synthetic Aperture Radar satellite time series of flood extent, long-term simulated streamflow, citizen science data, river water level and three days lead-time numerical weather prediction rainfall forecast. During validation, the rainfall and river water level threshold combination outperformed other threshold combinations with probability of detection, false alarm ratio, and critical success index estimates of 0.74, 0.18 and 0.63, respectively. The flood threshold combination showed high detection performance for most flooding conditions. Flood forecasts with a 1-day lead-time exhibited a high likelihood in detecting historical severe flood events. The study provides a tested methodology for selecting suitable flood threshold-combinations, enhance the engagement of citizen scientists in a community–based flood early warning system in urban communities.en
dcterms.accessRightsLimited Access
dcterms.available2024-03-23
dcterms.bibliographicCitationTedla, H. Z.; Bekele, Tilaye Worku; Nigussie, Likimyelesh; Negash, E. D.; Walsh, C. L.; O'Donnell, G.; Haile, Alemseged Tamiru. 2024. Threshold-based flood early warning in an urbanizing catchment through multi-source data integration: satellite and citizen science contribution. Journal of Hydrology, 635:131076. [doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131076]en
dcterms.extent131076en
dcterms.issued2024-05
dcterms.languageen
dcterms.licenseCopyrighted; all rights reserved
dcterms.publisherElsevieren
dcterms.subjectflood forecastingen
dcterms.subjectearly warning systemsen
dcterms.subjectsatellite observationen
dcterms.subjectcitizen scienceen
dcterms.subjectmonitoringen
dcterms.subjecturbanizationen
dcterms.subjecthydrological modellingen
dcterms.subjectdatasetsen
dcterms.typeJournal Article

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