Exploring adaptation strategies for smallholder farmers in dryland farming systems and impact on pearl millet production under climate change in West Africa

cg.authorship.typesCGIAR multi-centreen
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Crops Research Institute for the Semi-Arid Tropicsen
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Livestock Research Instituteen
cg.contributor.affiliationInstitut Sénégalais de Recherche Agricoleen
cg.contributor.donorWorld Banken
cg.contributor.donorCGIAR Trust Funden
cg.contributor.initiativeClimate Resilience
cg.coverage.countrySenegal
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2SN
cg.coverage.regionAfrica
cg.coverage.regionWestern Africa
cg.creator.identifierFolorunso Mathew Akinseye: 0000-0002-8677-6306en
cg.creator.identifierAliou Faye: 0000-0003-3812-3252en
cg.creator.identifierJacob Emanuel Joseph: 0000-0002-0214-7298en
cg.creator.identifierNadine Worou: 0000-0001-7996-5478en
cg.creator.identifierAnthony Whitbread: 0000-0003-4840-7670en
cg.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.3389/fagro.2024.1428630en
cg.isijournalISI Journalen
cg.issn2673-3218en
cg.journalFrontiers in Agronomyen
cg.reviewStatusPeer Reviewen
cg.subject.actionAreaResilient Agrifood Systems
cg.subject.ilriAGRICULTUREen
cg.subject.ilriCLIMATE CHANGEen
cg.subject.sdgSDG 13 - Climate actionen
cg.volume6en
dc.contributor.authorAkinsey, Folorunso Men
dc.contributor.authorInoussa, Zagreen
dc.contributor.authorFaye, Aliouen
dc.contributor.authorJoseph, Jacob Emanuelen
dc.contributor.authorWorou, Nadineen
dc.contributor.authorWhitbread, Anthonyen
dc.date.accessioned2024-07-12T12:45:34Zen
dc.date.available2024-07-12T12:45:34Zen
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/149055
dc.titleExploring adaptation strategies for smallholder farmers in dryland farming systems and impact on pearl millet production under climate change in West Africaen
dcterms.abstractUnderstanding and identifying appropriate adaptation optons for cropping systems and management practices at spatial and temporal scales is an important prerequisite for scaling. Pearl millet (Pennisetum glaucum (L) R. Br.) could be regarded as a risk-reducing measure crop under climate change when coupled with tactical agronomic management practices. In this study, we assess the impacts of adaptation strategies such as cultivar type, planting windows, and fertilizer strategies on pearl millet production under rainfed farming systems over Nigeria and Senegal using the Agricultural Production Systems Simulator (APSIM) model. The impact of climate change on millet yield was evaluated using a validated APSIM-millet module that utilized yield data collected through participatory research and extension approach (PREA) in contrasting environments. The climate model projections for the mid-century period (2040–2069) were compared against a baseline period of 1980–2009 for both locations. During the simulation, two millet varieties (improved local and dual-purpose) with two sowing regimes were considered comparing traditional farmers’ sowing window (dry sowing) and agronomic sowing window (planting based on the onset of the rainfall) at three different fertilizer levels [low (23 kg N ha−1), medium (40.5 kg N ha−1), and high (68.5 kg N ha−1) respectively]. The performance of the APSIM-millet module was found to be satisfactory as indicated by the low Root Means Square Error (RMSE) and Normalized Root Mean Square Error (NRMSE) values. The range for grain yield was between 17.7% and 25.8%, while for AGB it was between 18.6% and 21.4%. The results showed that farmers’ sowing window simulated slightly higher grain yield than the agronomic sowing window for improved local millet cultivar indicating yield increased by 8–12%. However, the projected changes in the mid-century (2040–2069) resulted in a decline in yield against baseline climate for both varieties and sowing windows, indicating the negative impact of climate change (CC) on yield productivity. The comparison between dual-purpose millet and improved local millet indicates that disseminating the improved millet variety and implementing early sowing could be an effective adaptation strategy in reducing risks and losses caused by climate change. Similarly, low magnitude impacts simulated on grain yield (< −8% in Nigeria compared to > −8% in Senegal) even though both locations are in the same agroecological zone.en
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Access
dcterms.audienceCGIARen
dcterms.audiencePolicy Makersen
dcterms.audienceScientistsen
dcterms.audienceDonorsen
dcterms.audienceNGOsen
dcterms.available2024-07-07en
dcterms.bibliographicCitationAkinseye FM, Zagre I, Faye A, Joseph JE, Worou N, Whitbread A. 2024. Exploring adaptation strategies for smallholder farmers in dryland farming systems and impact on pearl millet production under climate change in West Africa. Frontiers in Agronomy 6:12. Accelerating Impacts of CGIAR Climate Research for Africa (AICCRA).en
dcterms.extent12 p.en
dcterms.issued2024-07-07en
dcterms.languageen
dcterms.licenseCC-BY-4.0
dcterms.publisherFrontiers Mediaen
dcterms.subjectadaptation strategiesen
dcterms.subjectclimate changeen
dcterms.subjectmanagement practicesen
dcterms.subjectclimate change adaptationen
dcterms.subjectfood securityen
dcterms.typeJournal Article

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