Fish supply and demand for food security in Sub-Saharan Africa: An analysis of the Zambian fish sector

cg.contributor.crpPolicies, Institutions, and Markets
cg.contributor.crpFish
cg.contributor.donorFederal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development, Germanyen
cg.contributor.donorDeutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeiten
cg.contributor.donorCGIAR Trust Funden
cg.coverage.countryZambia
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2ZM
cg.coverage.regionSouthern Africa
cg.coverage.regionSub-Saharan Africa
cg.coverage.regionAfrica
cg.coverage.regionEastern Africa
cg.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2018.11.009en
cg.isijournalISI Journalen
cg.issn0308-597Xen
cg.issueJanuary 2019en
cg.journalMarine Policyen
cg.reviewStatusPeer Reviewen
cg.volume99en
dc.contributor.authorTran, Nhuongen
dc.contributor.authorChu, Longen
dc.contributor.authorChan, Chin Yeeen
dc.contributor.authorGenschick, Svenen
dc.contributor.authorPhillips, Michaelen
dc.contributor.authorKefi, Alexander Shulaen
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-29T12:57:46Zen
dc.date.available2025-01-29T12:57:46Zen
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/171149
dc.titleFish supply and demand for food security in Sub-Saharan Africa: An analysis of the Zambian fish sectoren
dcterms.abstractThe demand for fish in Sub-Saharan Africa, as driven by the trend of diet-shift to fish, economic and demographic growth, outstrips supply. The resulting fish deficit is drawing attention of policy makers as it poses threats to economic stability as well as food security in the region. In this paper, a multi-species, multi-sector equilibrium model is developed and applied to Zambia as a case study to provide a tool for policy makers to examine the interaction between fish supply and demand. Projection results show that under business-as-usual scenario, the fish deficit in Zambia will increase and fish import will be a key contributor of fish for consumption in 2030. Increasing import tax will not solve the fish deficit due to a limited substitution between domestic and imported fish, while this tariff restriction may increase the fish price and affect poor people. The model results suggest that further investment in aquaculture could provide a solution if input markets for seed and feed are appropriately developed. Though calibrated to Zambia's fish sector, the model can be applied to analyze the outlook of fish sectors in other developing countries.en
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Access
dcterms.bibliographicCitationTran, Nhuong; Chu, Long; Chan, Chin Yee; Genschick, Sven; Phillips, Michael John; and Kefi, Alexander Shula. 2019. Fish supply and demand for food security in Sub-Saharan Africa: An analysis of the Zambian fish sector. Marine Policy 99(January 2019): 343-350. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2018.11.009en
dcterms.extentpp. 343-350en
dcterms.issued2019-01
dcterms.languageen
dcterms.licenseCC-BY-NC-ND-4.0
dcterms.publisherElsevieren
dcterms.subjectfood securityen
dcterms.subjectaquacultureen
dcterms.subjectfisheriesen
dcterms.subjectsupply balanceen
dcterms.typeJournal Article

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