Responding to future regime shifts with agrobiodiversity: A multi-level perspective on small-scale farming in Uganda

cg.authorship.typesCGIAR and advanced research instituteen
cg.contributor.affiliationBioversity International and the International Center for Tropical Agricultureen
cg.contributor.affiliationWageningen University & Researchen
cg.contributor.crpPolicies, Institutions, and Markets
cg.contributor.crpRoots, Tubers and Bananas
cg.coverage.countryUganda
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2UG
cg.coverage.regionAfrica
cg.coverage.regionEastern Africa
cg.coverage.regionSub-Saharan Africa
cg.creator.identifierMarta Kozicka: 0000-0002-2323-3689en
cg.creator.identifierElisabetta Gotor: 0000-0003-0533-3077en
cg.creator.identifierWalter Ocimati: 0000-0001-6177-7073en
cg.creator.identifierEnoch Kikulwe: 0000-0003-2433-1704en
cg.creator.identifierGroot, J.C.J.: 0000-0001-6516-5170en
cg.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2020.102864en
cg.isijournalISI Journalen
cg.issn0308-521Xen
cg.journalAgricultural Systemsen
cg.reviewStatusPeer Reviewen
cg.subject.alliancebiovciatBANANAen
cg.subject.alliancebiovciatBIODIVERSITYen
cg.subject.alliancebiovciatIMPACT ASSESSMENTen
cg.volume183en
dc.contributor.authorKozicka, Martaen
dc.contributor.authorGotor, Elisabettaen
dc.contributor.authorOcimati, Walteren
dc.contributor.authorJager, Tamar deen
dc.contributor.authorKikulwe, Enoch Mutebien
dc.contributor.authorGroot, Jeroen C.J.en
dc.date.accessioned2020-05-25T10:14:35Zen
dc.date.available2020-05-25T10:14:35Zen
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/108310
dc.titleResponding to future regime shifts with agrobiodiversity: A multi-level perspective on small-scale farming in Ugandaen
dcterms.abstractWe analyse the impact of two large-scale regime shifts caused by disease incidence or climate change, and associated crop productivity and price changes, on banana-based smallholders in Uganda. We evaluate these farmers' vulnerability and assess the potential of using increased crop diversity to improve their resilience. We further explore trade-offs and synergies between environmental, economic and nutritional outcomes faced by the farmers in their decision making when a regime shift occurs. We simulate the large-scale scenarios with the IMPACT model and use the results obtained to assess their effect at the local level using the bio-economic farm-household model, FarmDESIGN. Our results indicate that climate change can lead to a regime shift that expands revenue variance, increases soil erosion and reduces vitamin A yield for farmers. Banana disease can negatively impact income levels and species diversity. We show that under both scenarios farmers have scope to reconfigure their farms and recover farm performance. Specifically, we discuss the benefits of species diversity; increasing agrobiodiversity by adding new crops increases the farm's adaptive capacity and resilience, allowing for much higher revenues, on-farm crop diversity and vitamin A production. The conceptual approach and the method we developed can be applied to assess the local synergies and trade-offs between crop diversity conservation, nutrition, environmental protection and human nutrition that farmers face as a result of global drivers. Our results offer a further understanding of how biodiverse systems respond to regime shifts, which can inform effective policy design. Our method can be also useful to help farmers manage their farms in a way to better meet their complex needs.en
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Access
dcterms.audienceScientistsen
dcterms.bibliographicCitationKozicka, M.; Gotor, E.; Ocimati, W.; Jager, T.; Kikulwe, E.; Groot, J.C.J. (2020) Responding to future regime shifts with agrobiodiversity: A multi-level perspective on small-scale farming in Uganda. Agricultural Systems (183) 102864 ISSN: 0308-521Xen
dcterms.extent11 p.en
dcterms.issued2020-08en
dcterms.languageen
dcterms.licenseCC-BY-NC-ND-4.0
dcterms.publisherElsevieren
dcterms.subjectagrobiodiversityen
dcterms.subjectsmallholdersen
dcterms.subjectvulnerabilityen
dcterms.subjectresilienceen
dcterms.subjectimpact assessmenten
dcterms.subjectcropsen
dcterms.subjectmusaen
dcterms.subjectclimate changeen
dcterms.subjectagrobiodiversidaden
dcterms.subjectpequeños agricultoresen
dcterms.subjectvulnerabilidaden
dcterms.typeJournal Article

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