How does climate exacerbate root causes of conflict in Kenya? An econometric analysis

Belli A, Villa V, Laderach P, Pacillo G. 2021. How does climate exacerbate root causes of conflict in Kenya? An econometric analysis. CGIAR FOCUS Climate Security.

This factsheet assesses how climate exacerbates root causes of conflict in Kenya, using a two-stage econometric approach. The findings show how rising temperatures and decreasing rainfall can have a significant impact on Kenyan households' nutrition security and that the interaction of climate and nutrition insecurity increases the intensity of conflict.

This publication is part of a factsheet series reporting on the findings of the CGIAR FOCUS Climate Security Observatory work in Africa (Kenya, Mali, Nigeria, Senegal, Sudan, Uganda, Zimbabwe). The research is centered around 5 questions: 1. How does climate exacerbate root causes of conflict? 2. Where are hotspots of climate insecurities ? 3.What is the underlying structure of the climate, conflict, and socio-economic system? 4. Are climate and security policies coherent and integrated? 5. Are policy makers aware of the climate security nexus?