Spatial changes to climatic suitability and availability of agropastoral farming systems across Kenya (1980–2020)

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cg.authorship.typesCGIAR and advanced research instituteen
cg.contributor.affiliationSaint Louis Universityen
cg.contributor.affiliationUniversity of Liverpoolen
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Livestock Research Instituteen
cg.contributor.affiliationSaint Louis Zooen
cg.contributor.donorTaylor Geospatial Instituteen
cg.contributor.donorBiotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council, United Kingdomen
cg.contributor.donorForeign, Commonwealth and Development Office, United Kingdomen
cg.contributor.donorEconomic and Social Research Council, United Kingdomen
cg.contributor.donorMedical Research Council, United Kingdomen
cg.contributor.donorNatural Environment Research Council, United Kingdomen
cg.contributor.donorDefence Science and Technology Laboratory, United Kingdomen
cg.contributor.donorCGIAR Trust Funden
cg.contributor.initiativeOne Health
cg.coverage.countryKenya
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2KE
cg.coverage.regionEastern Africa
cg.creator.identifierEric M. Fèvre: 0000-0001-8931-4986
cg.howPublishedFormally Publisheden
cg.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1177/00307270231176577en
cg.isijournalISI Journalen
cg.issn0030-7270en
cg.issue2en
cg.journalOutlook on Agricultureen
cg.reviewStatusPeer Reviewen
cg.subject.actionAreaResilient Agrifood Systems
cg.subject.ilriAGRICULTUREen
cg.subject.ilriCLIMATE CHANGEen
cg.subject.ilriPASTORALISMen
cg.subject.impactAreaClimate adaptation and mitigation
cg.subject.impactAreaNutrition, health and food security
cg.subject.sdgSDG 2 - Zero hungeren
cg.subject.sdgSDG 13 - Climate actionen
cg.volume52en
dc.contributor.authorLawrence, T.J.en
dc.contributor.authorVilbig, J.M.en
dc.contributor.authorKangogo, G.en
dc.contributor.authorFèvre, Eric M.en
dc.contributor.authorDeem, S.L.en
dc.contributor.authorGluecks, Ilona V.en
dc.contributor.authorSagan, V.en
dc.contributor.authorShacham, E.en
dc.date.accessioned2023-05-30T12:28:22Zen
dc.date.available2023-05-30T12:28:22Zen
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/130529
dc.titleSpatial changes to climatic suitability and availability of agropastoral farming systems across Kenya (1980–2020)en
dcterms.abstractProductive global agriculture is under a convergence of pressures, and particularly climate change and population growth. The impact is especially stark in East Africa where crop production is mostly rain-fed and population growth rates are among the highest in the world. Our objective for this study was to understand how climate change and population growth have impacted the size of agropastoral areas across Kenya over 40 years. Climate-suitable areas for all primary crops decreased 28% over the study period. Climate-suitable areas for primary crops increased 3% in highly productive counties, decreased 25% in moderately productive counties, and decreased 62% in low productive counties. Climate-suitable areas over the study period decreased 13% for ranching areas, 21% for dairying areas, 24% for mixed crop and ranching areas, and 28% for mixed crop and dairying areas, while climate-suitable areas for pastoralism increased 12%. Population across Kenya more than tripled over the study period, while population relative to climate-suitable areas for crops increased nearly fourfold, and population relative to climate-suitable areas for pastoralism nearly tripled. Population relative to available climate-suitable areas for crops more than doubled in highly productive counties, increased more than four-fold in moderately productive counties, and was nearly 15 times higher in low productive counties. Examining the cumulative effects of climate change and population growth on agricultural sectors across Kenya can help to develop policies and strategies to reach the UN Sustainable Development Goals.en
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Access
dcterms.audienceAcademicsen
dcterms.audienceScientistsen
dcterms.available2023-05-29
dcterms.bibliographicCitationLawrence, T.J., Vilbig, J.M., Kangogo, G., Fèvre, E.M., Deem, S.L., Gluecks, I., Sagan, V. and Shacham, E. 2023. Spatial changes to climatic suitability and availability of agropastoral farming systems across Kenya (1980–2020). Outlook on Agriculture 52(2): 186–199.en
dcterms.extentp. 186-199en
dcterms.issued2023-06
dcterms.languageen
dcterms.licenseCC-BY-4.0
dcterms.publisherSAGE Publicationsen
dcterms.subjectclimate changeen
dcterms.subjectagropastoral systemsen
dcterms.subjectagricultureen
dcterms.subjectpastoralismen
dcterms.typeJournal Article

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