The future of diets and hunger in South East Asia under climate change and alternative investment scenarios

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cg.authorship.typesCGIAR single centreen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Food Policy Research Instituteen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationInstitute of Development Studies, United Kingdomen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationCGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Securityen_US
cg.contributor.crpClimate Change, Agriculture and Food Securityen_US
cg.coverage.regionAsiaen_US
cg.coverage.regionSouth-eastern Asiaen_US
cg.creator.identifierDirk Willenbockel: 0000-0002-6840-0954en_US
cg.creator.identifierNicola Cenacchi: 0000-0003-1913-4263en_US
cg.creator.identifierShahnila Islam: 0000-0002-3589-3350en_US
cg.creator.identifierTimothy B. Sulser: 0000-0001-7128-5283en_US
cg.creator.identifierKeith Wiebe: 0000-0001-6035-620Xen_US
cg.identifier.projectIFPRI - IMPACT modelen_US
cg.identifier.projectIFPRI - Environment and Production Technology Divisionen_US
cg.identifier.publicationRankNot rankeden_US
cg.placeWageningen, The Netherlandsen_US
cg.reviewStatusInternal Reviewen_US
cg.subject.ccafsPRIORITIES AND POLICIES FOR CSAen_US
dc.contributor.authorCenacchi, Nicolaen_US
dc.contributor.authorDunston, Shahnilaen_US
dc.contributor.authorSulser, Timothy B.en_US
dc.contributor.authorWiebe, Keith D.en_US
dc.contributor.authorWillenbockel, Dirken_US
dc.date.accessioned2022-02-02T12:35:25Zen_US
dc.date.available2022-02-02T12:35:25Zen_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/117912en_US
dc.titleThe future of diets and hunger in South East Asia under climate change and alternative investment scenariosen_US
dcterms.abstractDespite enjoying strong economic growth in the last few decades, Southeast Asia still faces challenges to food security, with high levels of stunting across countries in the region. Agricultural production is likely to see large impacts from climate change, including sea-level rise, droughts, and floods. The climate threat compounds pressures onto the food systems coming from the rapid demographic and income trends. Population across the region may grow by 25% between 2010 and 2050, and average income per capita may see a fourfold increase in the same period. In absence of climate impacts, growth in agricultural productivity is estimated to bring about an increase in production of over 50% between 2020 and 2050, with positive effects on the availability of kilocalories, and increased consumption of animal products. However, the projected climate impacts are expected to hit most of the crops in the region, especially cereals. Per capita income in 2050 may be negatively affected compared to a scenario without climate shocks. The resulting decrease in total calories availability translates into an increase in population at risk of hunger across the region and by country. We show that enhanced investments in public international agricultural R&D have the potential to improve yields despite the long-term negative effects of climate shocks, and when combined with increased research efficiency they may even offset climate impacts on food security across the region.en_US
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Accessen_US
dcterms.bibliographicCitationCenacchi N, Dunston S, Sulser TB, Wiebe K, Willenbockel D. 2021. The future of diets and hunger in South East Asia under climate change and alternative investment scenarios. CCAFS Report. Wageningen, the Netherlands: CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS).en_US
dcterms.extent29 p.en_US
dcterms.issued2021-12-22en_US
dcterms.languageenen_US
dcterms.licenseCC-BY-NC-4.0en_US
dcterms.publisherCGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Securityen_US
dcterms.replaceshttps://ebrary.ifpri.org/digital/collection/p15738coll5/id/8145en_US
dcterms.subjectmodelsen_US
dcterms.subjectinvestmenten_US
dcterms.subjectresearchen_US
dcterms.subjectagricultureen_US
dcterms.subjectfood securityen_US
dcterms.subjectdieten_US
dcterms.subjectclimate changeen_US
dcterms.typeReporten_US

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