The future of diets and hunger in South East Asia under climate change and alternative investment scenarios

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cg.authorship.typesCGIAR single centreen
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Food Policy Research Instituteen
cg.contributor.affiliationInstitute of Development Studies, United Kingdomen
cg.contributor.affiliationCGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Securityen
cg.contributor.crpClimate Change, Agriculture and Food Security
cg.coverage.regionAsia
cg.coverage.regionSouth-eastern Asia
cg.creator.identifierDirk Willenbockel: 0000-0002-6840-0954en
cg.creator.identifierNicola Cenacchi: 0000-0003-1913-4263en
cg.creator.identifierShahnila Islam: 0000-0002-3589-3350en
cg.creator.identifierTimothy B. Sulser: 0000-0001-7128-5283en
cg.creator.identifierKeith Wiebe: 0000-0001-6035-620Xen
cg.identifier.projectIFPRI - IMPACT modelen
cg.identifier.projectIFPRI - Environment and Production Technology Divisionen
cg.identifier.publicationRankNot rankeden
cg.placeWageningen, The Netherlandsen
cg.reviewStatusInternal Reviewen
cg.subject.ccafsPRIORITIES AND POLICIES FOR CSAen
dc.contributor.authorCenacchi, Nicolaen
dc.contributor.authorDunston, Shahnilaen
dc.contributor.authorSulser, Timothy B.en
dc.contributor.authorWiebe, Keith D.en
dc.contributor.authorWillenbockel, Dirken
dc.date.accessioned2022-02-02T12:35:25Zen
dc.date.available2022-02-02T12:35:25Zen
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/117912
dc.titleThe future of diets and hunger in South East Asia under climate change and alternative investment scenariosen
dcterms.abstractDespite enjoying strong economic growth in the last few decades, Southeast Asia still faces challenges to food security, with high levels of stunting across countries in the region. Agricultural production is likely to see large impacts from climate change, including sea-level rise, droughts, and floods. The climate threat compounds pressures onto the food systems coming from the rapid demographic and income trends. Population across the region may grow by 25% between 2010 and 2050, and average income per capita may see a fourfold increase in the same period. In absence of climate impacts, growth in agricultural productivity is estimated to bring about an increase in production of over 50% between 2020 and 2050, with positive effects on the availability of kilocalories, and increased consumption of animal products. However, the projected climate impacts are expected to hit most of the crops in the region, especially cereals. Per capita income in 2050 may be negatively affected compared to a scenario without climate shocks. The resulting decrease in total calories availability translates into an increase in population at risk of hunger across the region and by country. We show that enhanced investments in public international agricultural R&D have the potential to improve yields despite the long-term negative effects of climate shocks, and when combined with increased research efficiency they may even offset climate impacts on food security across the region.en
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Access
dcterms.bibliographicCitationCenacchi N, Dunston S, Sulser TB, Wiebe K, Willenbockel D. 2021. The future of diets and hunger in South East Asia under climate change and alternative investment scenarios. CCAFS Report. Wageningen, the Netherlands: CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS).en
dcterms.extent29 p.en
dcterms.issued2021-12-22en
dcterms.languageen
dcterms.licenseCC-BY-NC-4.0
dcterms.publisherCGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Securityen
dcterms.replaceshttps://ebrary.ifpri.org/digital/collection/p15738coll5/id/8145en
dcterms.subjectmodelsen
dcterms.subjectinvestmenten
dcterms.subjectresearchen
dcterms.subjectagricultureen
dcterms.subjectfood securityen
dcterms.subjectdieten
dcterms.subjectclimate changeen
dcterms.typeReport

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