Multimodel and multiconstituent scenario construction for future water quality

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cg.contributor.affiliationUtrecht Universityen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationWageningen University & Researchen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationHelmholtz Centre for Environmental Research-UFZen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationPBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agencyen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationRuhr University Bochumen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationProspexen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationSwiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technologyen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationDeltaresen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationEuropean Commission Joint Research Centreen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Water Management Instituteen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationUK Centre for Ecology and Hydrologyen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationKing Abdullah University of Science and Technologyen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysisen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Atomic Energy Agencyen_US
cg.contributor.donorUnited Nations Environment Programmeen_US
cg.contributor.donorFederal Ministry of Education and Research, Germanyen_US
cg.creator.identifierSimon Langan: 0000-0003-0742-3658en_US
cg.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1021/acs.estlett.4c00789en_US
cg.identifier.iwmilibraryH053343en_US
cg.isijournalISI Journalen_US
cg.issn2328-8930en_US
cg.issue12en_US
cg.journalEnvironmental Science and Technology Lettersen_US
cg.reviewStatusPeer Reviewen_US
cg.subject.sdgSDG 6 - Clean water and sanitationen_US
cg.volume11en_US
dc.contributor.authorBouwman, A. F.en_US
dc.contributor.authorBärlund, I.en_US
dc.contributor.authorBeusen, A. H. W.en_US
dc.contributor.authorFlörke, M.en_US
dc.contributor.authorGramberger, M.en_US
dc.contributor.authorRivera Cardona, J.en_US
dc.contributor.authorPodgorski, J.en_US
dc.contributor.authorvan den Roovaart, J.en_US
dc.contributor.authorGrizzetti, B.en_US
dc.contributor.authorJanssen, A. B. G.en_US
dc.contributor.authorKumar, R.en_US
dc.contributor.authorLangan, Simonen_US
dc.contributor.authorPoikane, S.en_US
dc.contributor.authorSpears, B. M.en_US
dc.contributor.authorStrokal, M.en_US
dc.contributor.authorTang, T.en_US
dc.contributor.authorTroost, T. A.en_US
dc.contributor.authorVigiak, O.en_US
dc.contributor.authorvan Vliet, M. T. H.en_US
dc.contributor.authorVystavna, Y.en_US
dc.contributor.authorWang, M.en_US
dc.contributor.authorHofstra, N.en_US
dc.date.accessioned2024-12-20T16:36:34Zen_US
dc.date.available2024-12-20T16:36:34Zen_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/168161en_US
dc.titleMultimodel and multiconstituent scenario construction for future water qualityen_US
dcterms.abstractFreshwater pollution is, together with climate change, one of today’s most severe and pervasive threats to the global environment. Comprehensive and spatially explicit scenarios covering a wide range of constituents for freshwater quality are currently scarce. In this Global Perspective paper, we propose a novel model-based approach for five water quality constituents relevant for human and ecosystem health (nitrogen, biochemical oxygen demand, anthropogenic chemicals, fecal coliform, and arsenic). To project the driving forces and consequences for emissions and impacts, a set of common data based on the same assumptions was prepared and used in different large-scale water quality models including all relevant demographic, socioeconomic, and cultural changes, as well as threshold concentrations to determine the risk for human and ecosystem health. The analysis portrays the strong links among water quality, socio-economic development, and lifestyle. Internal consistency of assumptions and input data is a prerequisite for constructing comparable scenarios using different models to support targeted policy development.en_US
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Accessen_US
dcterms.available2024-11-22en_US
dcterms.bibliographicCitationBouwman, A. F.; Bärlund, I.; Beusen, A. H. W.; Flörke, M.; Gramberger, M.; Rivera Cardona, J.; Podgorski, J.; van den Roovaart, J.; Grizzetti, B.; Janssen, A. B. G.; Kumar, R.; Langan, Simon; Poikane, S.; Spears, B. M.; Strokal, M.; Tang, T.; Troost, T. A.; Vigiak, O.; van Vliet, M. T. H.; Vystavna, Y.; Wang, M.; Hofstra, N. 2024. Multimodel and multiconstituent scenario construction for future water quality. Environmental Science and Technology Letters, 11(12):1272-1280. [doi: https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.estlett.4c00789]en_US
dcterms.extent1272-1280en_US
dcterms.issued2024-12en_US
dcterms.languageenen_US
dcterms.licenseCC-BY-4.0en_US
dcterms.publisherAmerican Chemical Societyen_US
dcterms.subjectwater qualityen_US
dcterms.subjectmodelsen_US
dcterms.subjectfreshwater pollutionen_US
dcterms.subjectanthropogenic factorsen_US
dcterms.subjectarsenicen_US
dcterms.subjectfaecal coliformsen_US
dcterms.subjectbiochemical oxygen demanden_US
dcterms.subjectgroundwateren_US
dcterms.subjectsurface wateren_US
dcterms.subjectnitrogenen_US
dcterms.subjectsustainable development goalsen_US
dcterms.subjectgoal 6 clean water and sanitationen_US
dcterms.typeJournal Articleen_US

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