Migration and employment in Tajikistan: Evidence from twelve districts in Khatlon Province, 2015 - 2023

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cg.authorship.typesCGIAR single centreen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Food Policy Research Instituteen_US
cg.contributor.donorUnited States Agency for International Developmenten_US
cg.contributor.donorCGIAR Trust Funden_US
cg.contributor.initiativeFragility, Conflict, and Migrationen_US
cg.contributor.initiativeNational Policies and Strategiesen_US
cg.coverage.countryTajikistanen_US
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2TJen_US
cg.coverage.regionAsiaen_US
cg.coverage.regionCentral Asiaen_US
cg.coverage.subregionKhatlon Provinceen_US
cg.creator.identifierIsabel Lambrecht: 0000-0003-1709-6611en_US
cg.creator.identifierKamiljon Akramov: 0000-0003-4357-0508en_US
cg.creator.identifierJovidon Aliev: 0009-0000-3497-8603en_US
cg.creator.identifierMohru Mardonova: 0009-0008-8692-1164en_US
cg.howPublishedGrey Literatureen_US
cg.identifier.dataurlhttps://doi.org/10.7910/dvn/dhrv46en_US
cg.identifier.projectIFPRI - Development Strategy and Governance Divisionen_US
cg.identifier.projectIFPRI - Tajikistan Evaluation and Analysis Activityen_US
cg.identifier.publicationRankNot rankeden_US
cg.number5en_US
cg.placeWashington, DCen_US
cg.reviewStatusInternal Reviewen_US
cg.subject.actionAreaSystems Transformationen_US
cg.subject.impactAreaGender equality, youth and social inclusionen_US
cg.subject.impactAreaNutrition, health and food securityen_US
dc.contributor.authorLambrecht, Isabel B.en_US
dc.contributor.authorAkramov, Kamiljon T.en_US
dc.contributor.authorAliev, Jovidonen_US
dc.contributor.authorMardonova Tolibkhonovna, Mohruen_US
dc.date.accessioned2024-09-30T16:05:09Zen_US
dc.date.available2024-09-30T16:05:09Zen_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/152496en_US
dc.titleMigration and employment in Tajikistan: Evidence from twelve districts in Khatlon Province, 2015 - 2023en_US
dcterms.abstractTajikistan’s economy is highly dependent on personal remittances (World Bank, 2023). Lack of formal well-paid jobs and of private business opportunities locally to earn sufficient household income has motivated people to migrate abroad since the beginning of the 2000s (Shimizutani and Yamada, 2023; World Bank, 2023). Since 2006, the value of personal remittances was more than 25 percent of the country’s GDP, and by 2022, remittances were an estimated 51 percent of Tajikistan’s GDP (World Bank, 2022; Figure 1). Remittances are thus key to poverty reduction in Tajikistan (World Bank, 2023), yet such large reliance on remittances, while providing major opportunities for households to exit poverty, also poses significant vulnerability to reenter poverty and food insecurity in case of any negative shocks affecting employment at the migration location. This study looks at changes in migration characteristics in twelve districts in Khatlon Province in the past 8 years, using data collected in 2015 and 2023; and at employment patterns in this area in 2023. The 2015 survey was administered during a time when many Tajik migrants were returning to the country as a result of worsening economic conditions in Russia. Indeed, as shown also in Figure 1, personal remittances dropped sharply between 2013 and 2015. In 2015 they were 27 percent of GDP, the lowest level in a decade (World Bank 2023). In contrast, personal remittances were at their highest relative to the country’s GDP in 2022.1 The 2023 survey, therefore, was administered during a time of relatively better conditions for migrants. Migrants were modestly affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, as after a sharp decline in employment and remittances in April and May 2020, they quickly returned to their former levels (Shimizutani and Yamada, 2021). Strong labor demand in Russia following its invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 and an appreciation of the Russian ruble (before it depreciated again towards end of 2022) benefited labor migrants and the remittances they were able to send home (World Bank, 2023).en_US
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Accessen_US
dcterms.audienceScientistsen_US
dcterms.bibliographicCitationLambrecht, Isabel B.; Akramov, Kamiljon T.; Aliev, Jovidon; and Mardonova, Mohru. 2024. Migration and employment in Tajikistan: Evidence from twelve districts in Khatlon Province, 2015 - 2023. Central Asia Working Paper 5. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/152496en_US
dcterms.extent22 p.en_US
dcterms.isPartOfIFPRI Central Asia Working Paperen_US
dcterms.issued2024-09-30en_US
dcterms.languageenen_US
dcterms.licenseOtheren_US
dcterms.publisherInternational Food Policy Research Instituteen_US
dcterms.relationhttps://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.137012en_US
dcterms.relationhttps://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.136913en_US
dcterms.relationhttps://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.136910en_US
dcterms.relationhttps://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.136488en_US
dcterms.subjectmigrationen_US
dcterms.subjectemploymenten_US
dcterms.subjecthouseholdsen_US
dcterms.subjectincomeen_US
dcterms.subjecthousehold surveysen_US
dcterms.subjectsocioeconomic environmenten_US
dcterms.subjectremittancesen_US
dcterms.typeWorking Paperen_US

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