Cascades of tipping in impacts

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cg.authorship.typesCGIAR and advanced research instituteen
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Center for Tropical Agricultureen
cg.contributor.donorCGIAR Trust Funden
cg.contributor.initiativeFragility, Conflict, and Migration
cg.creator.identifierAshleigh Basel: 0000-0002-2086-7256en
cg.creator.identifierAlessandro Craparo: 0000-0002-9005-8198en
cg.reviewStatusPeer Reviewen
cg.subject.actionAreaSystems Transformation
cg.subject.alliancebiovciatCLIMATE CHANGEen
cg.subject.alliancebiovciatCLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATIONen
cg.subject.impactAreaClimate adaptation and mitigation
cg.subject.sdgSDG 13 - Climate actionen
dc.contributor.authorJuhola, Sirkkuen
dc.contributor.authorRocha, Juanen
dc.contributor.authorSillmann, Janaen
dc.contributor.authorBasel, Ashleighen
dc.contributor.authorConstantino, Sara M.en
dc.contributor.authorCraparo, Alessandro C. W.en
dc.contributor.authorCumming, Graeme S.en
dc.contributor.authorDonges, Jonathan F.en
dc.contributor.authorFilatova, Tatianaen
dc.contributor.authorMalmström, Alexandraen
dc.contributor.authorMithal, Viduren
dc.contributor.authorScheffran, Jürgenen
dc.contributor.authorTuhkanen, Heidien
dc.contributor.authorWatson, Tabithaen
dc.date.accessioned2024-01-19T09:44:54Zen
dc.date.available2024-01-19T09:44:54Zen
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/138119
dc.titleCascades of tipping in impactsen
dcterms.abstractThis chapter advances the state-of-the-art understanding of tipping cascades across scales and systems between Earth system and social tipping points. We consider a tipping cascade to occur when extremes or passing of a tipping point in one system triggers or increases the likelihood of reaching a tipping point in another. Here, this means that crossing an Earth system tipping point or experiencing an extreme volatility in the natural system can lead to cascading impacts that trigger social tipping points, and vice versa. Our analysis of the literature shows that most is known about the tipping cascades in the large-scale Earth System, while hardly any research analyses tipping cascades within socio-economic systems. We further illustrate the complexity of identifying tipping cascades with five case studies. These examples show the challenges in establishing the state of systems involved, identifying and modelling dynamics over time and space, as well as capturing the context dependency of interactions, especially in the social system. Further research steps include development of conceptual understanding of causal chains and feedbacks, as well as systematic accumulation of the empirical evidence base over temporal and across spatial scales. Research on governance of tipping cascades is in its infancy, with little insight into how the risks of tipping cascades can be identified and managed.en
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Access
dcterms.bibliographicCitationJuhola, S.; Rocha, J.; Sillmann, J.; Basel, A.; Constantino, S.M.; Craparo, A.C.W.; Cumming, G.S.; Donges, J.F.; Filatova, T.; Malmström, A.; Mithal, V.; Scheffran, J.; Tuhkanen, H.; Watson, T. (2023) Cascades of tipping in impacts. [Chapter 2.4] In: Abrams, J.F. (et al. (eds.)) Section 2: Tipping point impacts. Exeter (UK) University of Exeter. p. 33-45.en
dcterms.extentp. 33-45en
dcterms.issued2023-12-06en
dcterms.languageen
dcterms.licenseCC-BY-4.0
dcterms.subjectclimate changeen
dcterms.subjectmodellingen
dcterms.subjectclimateen
dcterms.subjecttipping pointsen
dcterms.subjectsocioeconomic environmenten
dcterms.subjectcase studiesen
dcterms.subjectphenomenaen
dcterms.subjectsocial structureen
dcterms.typeBook Chapter

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