Structural changes and drivers of agrifood system growth in Tajikistan

Khakimov, Parviz; Diao, Xinshen; Goibov, Manuchehr; and Ashurov, Timur. 2025. Structural changes and drivers of agrifood system growth in Tajikistan. Central Asia Policy Brief 25. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/174329

The agricultural sector accounted for one-third and one-fourth of total GDP in 2011 in 2022, respectively. In 2022 compared to 2011, both primary and off farm agricultural GDPs dropped, respectively by 13.2 and 3 percentage points, while primary agriculture employment share fell by 10.4 percentage points. The domestic market played a vital role in the recent agrifood system (AFS) growth, and a sizable portion of locally produced agrifood products was able to meet domestic demand. Though agroprocessing an important off-farm component of the AFS, grew more rapidly and thus contributed the most to off farm AFS growth, the aggregate size of off-farm components of the AFS did not increase to match with the structural change in the broader economy.