Farming under fire: The interplay of armed conflict and climate-induced weather disruptions in agricultural input use

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cg.authorship.typesCGIAR single centreen_US
cg.contributor.affiliationInternational Food Policy Research Instituteen_US
cg.contributor.donorCGIAR Trust Funden_US
cg.contributor.donorGovernment of Norwayen_US
cg.contributor.initiativeNational Policies and Strategiesen_US
cg.contributor.initiativeSeed Equalen_US
cg.contributor.initiativeFragility, Conflict, and Migrationen_US
cg.coverage.countryEthiopiaen_US
cg.coverage.iso3166-alpha2ETen_US
cg.coverage.regionAfricaen_US
cg.coverage.regionSub-Saharan Africaen_US
cg.coverage.regionEastern Africaen_US
cg.creator.identifierHailemariam Ayalew Tiruneh: 0000-0002-0199-7346en_US
cg.creator.identifierGuush Berhane: 0000-0002-1947-9483en_US
cg.creator.identifierClemens Breisinger: 0000-0001-6955-0682en_US
cg.howPublishedGrey Literatureen_US
cg.identifier.projectIFPRI - Development Strategies and Governance Uniten_US
cg.identifier.projectIFPRI - Innovation Policy and Scaling Uniten_US
cg.identifier.publicationRankNot rankeden_US
cg.placeWashington, DCen_US
cg.reviewStatusInternal Reviewen_US
cg.subject.actionAreaSystems Transformationen_US
cg.subject.actionAreaGenetic Innovationen_US
cg.subject.impactAreaClimate adaptation and mitigationen_US
cg.subject.impactAreaNutrition, health and food securityen_US
cg.subject.impactAreaPoverty reduction, livelihoods and jobsen_US
dc.contributor.authorAyalew, Hailemariamen_US
dc.contributor.authorBerhane, Guushen_US
dc.contributor.authorWondale, Mesereten_US
dc.contributor.authorBreisinger, Clemensen_US
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-07T16:13:36Zen_US
dc.date.available2025-01-07T16:13:36Zen_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10568/168640en_US
dc.titleFarming under fire: The interplay of armed conflict and climate-induced weather disruptions in agricultural input useen_US
dcterms.abstractThe recent surge in violent conflicts, intertwined with climate-induced drought risks, is jeopardizing decades of development progress in many low- and middle-income countries. This study investigates the compounded effects of armed conflicts and climate-induced disruptions on agricultural input use in Ethiopia, a country experiencing significant fragility due to both factors. Using a unique household- and plot-level panel dataset collected before (2019) and after (2023) the onset of a widespread conflict, we examine how these disruptions affect the use of key agricultural inputs, such as inorganic fertilizers, improved seeds, agrochemicals, compost, and manure. The analysis reveals that exposure to conflict significantly reduces the likelihood of using both inorganic and organic inputs. Conflict-affected households are 9 percentage points less likely to use both inorganic fertilizers and improved seeds, and 14 percentage points less likely to use organic fertilizers, such as compost and manure. Exposure to recurrent rainfall variability by inducing uncertainty of use of inputs further exacerbates these negative impacts, reducing fertilizer use by an additional 3 percent among drought-exposed households. These findings highlight the multifaceted challenges faced by smallholder farmers in fragile settings, where both conflict and environmental stressors undermine agricultural productivity and threaten food security. The study underscores the need for targeted anticipatory (pre-conflict) and resilience building (post-conflict) interventions to support resilience in agricultural practices within conflict-affected regions, particularly those facing climate-induced weather risks.en_US
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Accessen_US
dcterms.audienceAcademicsen_US
dcterms.bibliographicCitationAyalew, Hailemariam; Berhane, Guush; Wondale, Meseret; and Breisinger, Clemens. 2024. Farming under fire: The interplay of armed conflict and climate-induced weather disruptions in agricultural input use. IFPRI Discussion Paper 2307. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/168640en_US
dcterms.extent44 p.en_US
dcterms.isPartOfIFPRI Discussion Paperen_US
dcterms.issued2024-12-31en_US
dcterms.languageenen_US
dcterms.licenseCopyrighted; all rights reserveden_US
dcterms.publisherInternational Food Policy Research Instituteen_US
dcterms.subjectagricultureen_US
dcterms.subjectarmed conflictsen_US
dcterms.subjectclimate changeen_US
dcterms.subjectweather hazardsen_US
dcterms.subjectinputsen_US
dcterms.typeWorking Paperen_US

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